empty
 
 
20.09.2019 01:45 PM
EUR/USD: central banks pass the baton to the negotiators of the United States and the Middle Kingdom

This image is no longer relevant

Traders continue to win back the results of the meetings of the leading central banks and wait for news from the trading front.

A preparatory round of US-China trade talks started yesterday.

During the two-day discussions, the parties should pave the way for high-level negotiations between the parties, scheduled for early October.

Investors were encouraged that White House chief economic adviser Larry Kudlow said in an interview with Fox Business that he sees a slight improvement in sentiment at the meeting of trade representatives of both countries.

The US dollar fell by 0.22% against the basket of major currencies, despite the words of the head of the Fed Jerome Powell that the regulator faces a situation that can be resolved and corrected by taking advantage of moderate adjustments to the federal funds rate.

"The weakness of the greenback after the Federal Reserve lowered its interest rate by 0.25% on Wednesday is the main factor in the growth of EUR/USD," analysts at Commerzbank noted.

It is obvious that the eurozone economy looks weaker than the US, the European debt market rates are lower than in the US, but there is a lot of negativity inherent in the euro. Many "bearish" factors, including QE, have already been played. Reducing tensions in trade relations between Washington and Beijing, as well as the likelihood of disordered Brexit allow investors to close the "shorts" on the main currency pair.

The expected large-scale monetary stimulus from the ECB turned out to be a drop in the ocean. Experts predicted that it will be about €20-100 billion, and in fact – €3.4 billion.

If we add to this the continuing demand for liquidity from American banks, which, contrary to statements by Fed Chairman J. Powell, increases the risks of resuscitation of the quantitative easing program, then the movement of EUR/USD to the upper limit of the consolidation range of 1.095-1.1095 seems logical. However, will the principle of "sell on rumors, buy on facts" be enough for the main currency pair to be able to enter the operational space?

"The modest reaction of the US dollar to the "hawkish" statement of the Fed emphasizes the fact that it is not the US Central Bank that controls the sentiment on the USD, but the trade dispute between Washington and Beijing. As for the EUR/USD pair, steady growth is unlikely at the moment. The signals that ECB President Mario Draghi gave to the markets last week undoubtedly set a tougher "bottom" for EUR/USD in the area of 1.10, however, for a stable rally, the pair will need, firstly, a trade agreement between the US and China, secondly, fiscal stimulus provided by leading European countries in addition to the ECB measures," says by Citigroup experts.

Viktor Isakov,
الخبير التحليلي لدى شركة إنستافوركس
© 2007-2024
كسب عائد من تغيرات أسعار العملات المشفرة مع إنستافوركس.
قم بتحميل منصة التداول ميتاتريدر 4 وافتح أول صفقة.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    انضم إلى المسابقة
  • إيداع الحظ
    قم بإيداع 3,000 دولار في حسابك واحصل على $1,000 وأكثر من ذالك!
    في أبريل نحن نقدم باليانصيب $1,000 ضمن حملة إيداع الحظ!
    احصل على فرصة للفوز من خلال إيداع 3,000 دولار في حساب تداول. بعد أن استوفيت هذا الشرط، تصبح مشاركًا في الحملة.
    انضم إلى المسابقة
  • تداول بحكمة، اربح جهازا
    قم بتعبئة حسابك بمبلغ لا يقل عن 500 دولار ، واشترك في المسابقة ، واحصل على فرصة للفوز بأجهزة الجوال.
    انضم إلى المسابقة
  • بونص 100٪
    فرصتك الفريدة للحصول على بونص 100٪ على إيداعك
    احصل على بونص
  • بونص 55٪
    تقدم بطلب للحصول على بونص 55٪ على كل إيداع
    احصل على بونص
  • بونص 30٪
    احصل على بونص 30٪ في كل مرة تقوم فيها بتعبئة حسابك
    احصل على بونص

المقالات الموصى بها

لا تستطيع التحدث الآن؟
اطرح سؤالك في الدردشة.
Widget callback