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19.06.2020 09:21 AM
Simplified wave analysis and forecast of EUR/USD and USD/JPY on June 19

EUR/USD

Analysis:

The direction of the wave trend since March looks to the north of the price chart. Since May 7, the final part of the wave model (C) has formed. Within its framework, a correction in the form of a stretched plane has been developing since the beginning of this month. The correction structure looks complete. There are no signals of an imminent rate reversal on the chart at the time of analysis.

Forecast:

Today, the price is expected to move mainly in the lateral plane, along the calculated support. By the end of the day, the probability of a change in the exchange rate and a rise in the pair's rate increases. A break above the resistance zone is unlikely today.

Potential reversal zones

Resistance:

- 1.1290/1.1320

Support:

- 1.1200/1.1170

Recommendations:

There are no conditions for selling the euro today. We recommend tracking reversal signals to find an entry in a long position.

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USD/JPY

Analysis:

The direction of the price movement of the Japanese yen in the last 3 months is set by a large-scale correction wave. From June 5, the final ascending section is formed. In recent days, an intermediate correction has been made. The last part of its structure is missing.

Forecast:

Today in the first half of the day, the probability of a short-term rise remains. The growth boundary is the calculated resistance. Then you should wait for a return to the downward rate. If the support breaks through, the next zone will be the target of the decline.

Potential reversal zones

Resistance:

- 107.40/107.70

Support:

- 106.80/106.50

Recommendations:

Until the end of the current wave, the priority is to sell the instrument. In the European session, short-term purchases with a reduced lot are possible.

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Explanation: In the simplified wave analysis (UVA), waves consist of 3 parts (A-B-C). The last incomplete wave is analyzed. The solid background of the arrows shows the formed structure, and the dotted one shows the expected movements.

Note: The wave algorithm does not take into account the duration of the tool movements in time!

Isabel Clark,
الخبير التحليلي لدى شركة إنستافوركس
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