empty
 
 
10.12.2019 09:44 AM
Preparation for the race (EUR/USD and GBP/USD review on 12/10/2019)

The beginning of the week is more like stamping on the spot, although there is a reason to believe that this is just preparation for the sprint race, which should begin either on Wednesday or Thursday. But most likely, on Thursday, immediately after the early parliamentary elections in the UK.

This image is no longer relevant

However, do not think that nothing happened at all yesterday. After all, German foreign trade data was published yesterday, showing an increase in the trade balance from 21.2 billion euros to 21.5 billion euros. Although, it should be noted that they expected a decrease in the trade balance to 17.5 billion euros. This happened due to export growth of 1.2%, while imports remained unchanged. At the same time, a decline in exports of 0.7% and imports of 0.1% was projected. Thus, it seems like the data turned out to be extremely good. Nevertheless, data on the balance of payments, which decreased from 24.9 billion euros to 22.7 billion euros, is alarming. In fairness, it must be admitted that they predicted a decrease in the balance of payments to 17.9 billion euros. Due to this, the bottom line in the data on German foreign trade can be considered positive. However, the market does not look at them, because it makes no sense to look at the trade balance of the country with a chronic surplus of this balance.

Balance of Payments (Germany):

This image is no longer relevant

It is clear that the market will stand still at least until tomorrow's release of inflation data in the United States. And even today's block of data on the UK will not move it in any way. After all, the United Kingdom are waiting for early parliamentary elections to be held on Thursday. Nevertheless, it is worth taking a look at the real situation in the UK economy, wherein the forecasts are clearly disappointing. On the one hand, a certain improvement in the industry is expected, as the decline in industrial production should slow down from -1.8% to -1.7%. Certainly, just a fantastic improvement should occur, as the fall should slow down. However, the fall itself continues. But things are much worse with the rate of economic growth, since the final GDP data should confirm the fact that the economy has slowed down from 0.9% to 0.7%. The growth rate is incredibly low, which indicates the extremely difficult state of the economy of the United Kingdom, and the most frightening thing is that this is before the actual withdrawal of Great Britain from the European Union. No less frightening are the forecasts for construction, which may show a decrease of 0.2%. Against this background, the projected decrease in the trade deficit from -3.4 billion pounds to -3.0 billion pounds can be regarded as extremely positive news.

GDP growth rate (UK):

This image is no longer relevant

The single European currency is at least waiting for inflation data in the United States, and as a maximum for the results of parliamentary elections in the UK. Thus, the single European currency will continue to remain in the region of 1.1075.

This image is no longer relevant

The pound doesn't even care about inflation in the United States, and it is solely preparing for the upcoming elections, since too much depends on their outcome. Thus, nothing can move the pound from 1.3150.

This image is no longer relevant

Mark Bom,
ইন্সটাফরেক্সের বিশ্লেষণ বিশেষজ্ঞ
© 2007-2024
ইনস্টাফরেক্স দিয়ে ক্রিপ্টোমুদ্রা দর পরিবর্তনে আয় করুন।
মেটাট্রেডার 4 ডাউনলোড করে আপনার প্রথম ট্রেড চালু করুন।
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    প্রতিযোগীতায় অংশগ্রহণ করুন
  • চ্যান্সি ডিপোজিট
    আপনার অ্যাকাউন্টে $3,000 জমা করুন এবং $9000 এর অধিক নিন!
    চ্যান্সি ডিপোজিট প্রচারাভিযানে আমরা মে $9000 লটারি করেছি! একটি ট্রেডিং অ্যাকাউন্টে $3,000 জমা করে এই অর্থ জেতার একটি সুযোগ নিন! এই শর্ত পূরণ করে, আপনি একজন অংশগ্রহণকারী হতে পারবেন।
    প্রতিযোগীতায় অংশগ্রহণ করুন
  • বুদ্ধিমত্তার সাথে ট্রেড করুন, ডিভাইস জিতুন
    আপনার অ্যাকাউন্টে কমপক্ষে $৫০০ টপ আপ করুন, প্রতিযোগিতার জন্য সাইন আপ করুন এবং মোবাইল ডিভাইস জেতার সুযোগ পান।
    প্রতিযোগীতায় অংশগ্রহণ করুন
  • ১০০% বোনাস
    আপনার ডিপোজিটের উপর ১০০% বোনাস পাওয়ার অনন্য সুযোগ
    বোনাস পান
  • ৫৫% বোনাস
    আপনার অ্যাকাউন্টে প্রতিটি ডিপোজিটের উপর ৫৫% বোনাসের জন্য আবেদন করুন
    বোনাস পান
  • ৩০% বোনাস
    প্রতিবার আপনার অ্যাকাউন্ট টপ আপ করার সময় ৩০% বোনাস নিন
    বোনাস পান

সুপারিশকৃত নিবন্ধ

এখন কথা বলতে পারবেন না?
আপনার প্রশ্ন জিজ্ঞাসা করুন চ্যাট.
Widget callback