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13.09.2019: No reasons for oil to rise. Ruble extending gains (Brent, USD, RUB)

Oil is marginally higher after Brent quotes slumped yesterday below 60. The ruble can close the trade week higher against the US dollar at around 64. Brent oil is trading at $ 60.20 per barrel. This week’s decline may become the steepest for the recent two months. Traders are concerned about the fuel oversupply in the market. Meanwhile, OPEC and its allies avoided the topic of imposing more severe oil production cuts during the meeting in Abu Dhabi. OPEC officials preferred to focus on measures to ensure strict compliance with the pact. Earlier in August, Russia, Iraq and Nigeria exceeded oil production limits.The ruble is taking a back seat in light of crucial policy decisions of the ECB. The dollar/ruble pair opened at 64.72 on Friday. Today, the traders will consider the data on US retail sales for August. Market participants hope for a further improvement of the indicator. However this may not be the case since hurricane Dorian might have dampen the US consumer confidence.Meanwhile, the dollar bulls’ sentiment can be worsened by pessimistic data. This may also rise expectations for the interest rate cut at the Fed’s next meeting on September 17-18. The ruble has good prospects for growth against the dollar. The data on industrial production and retail in China can slightly push aside the Fed’s meeting expectations. Experts believe the data to be more optimistic than expected. This should put the dollar under more pressure and support the ruble.

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