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13.09.2019: USD trading cautiously ahead of Fed’s rate cut (USDX, JPY)

In a widely expected move, yesterday the ECB cut the deposit facility rate and introduced the new two-tier system of applying the deposit rate. Besides, the regulator made a surprise decision to resume the bond-buying program from November 1. Now traders express hopes that the US central bank will follow the same course at a policy meeting slated for September 18. The Federal Reserve is likely to ease monetary policy and lower the official funds rate to 2.00%. The US dollar index which tracks the dynamic of the greenback against a basket of six major currencies is now heading downward steadily after a roller coaster yesterday. Its price settled down at 98.10. Meanwhile, traders are selling the safe haven dollar in favor of higher-yielding and riskier assets. Optimism among investors is underpinned by obvious progress in the trade relations between the US and China. US President Donald Trump said on Thursday he would not rule out an interim trade pact with China. What is more, the US leader is ready to restart talks with North Korea. The yen is pinned near a six-week low versus the US dollar on Friday. The greenback rose to 108.26 versus the yen, the highest level since August 1. The greenback is up 1.2% versus the yen this week, on course for its best weekly performance since November 2018.
Yesterday, the dollar/yen pair retreated to 107.50 in light of another attack from Donald Trump on the Federal Reserve.
However, the US currency finds support from a spike in US Treasury yields, with the benchmark 10-year yield at a five-week high.After turbulent Thursday, the economic calendar lacks important economic data from Europe on Friday. So, the market is going to monitor news on Brexit-related events trade developments. During the North American trade, the US is due to release data on retail sales, import price index, and a consumer sentiment index from the University of Michigan.

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