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22.05.201719:21:00UTC+00澳大利亚劳动力成本增涨已经见底,可能在2017年稍反弹 - ANZ

基于调查的ANZ工资指标显示澳大利亚四月份工资成本增加。该指标上涨主要是受到公司组成部分的驱动 – 因为澳大利亚企业预期未来工资会逐渐走高。居民组成部分略走低,部分是因为总体走强的基础上部分居民对未来财务状况的预期恶化。 企业和居民的预期均继续远低于其长期平均。商品价格继续成为指标中唯一上涨的成分,ANZ称。然而在一月份见顶后,商品价格的贡献已经稳定下降。 ANZ工资指标显示澳大利亚劳动力成本增涨已经见底,可能在今年轻微反弹。一季度工资价格指数符合预期,公司季度环比稍涨 – 虽然总体WPI的反应已经落后于工资指标。 “工资强劲增长依然不太可能,劳动力市场依然不活跃(即使最近失业率已经下降),通胀预期低,并且工人担心丢饭碗。这也是我们认为澳央行将在近期保持政策的原因之一”,ANZ称。

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