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22.08.2019 08:40 AM
2019年08月22日欧元/美元预测

欧元/美元

昨天美联储上次会议公布的会议记录不仅"过时", 正如一些咨询机构根据中美之间的贸易谈判恢复,而且内容也是中立的 - 一些FOMC成员甚至投了票反对降低利率。因此,9月降息的市场概率从99.2%下降至98.5%,而10月降息至1.75%的可能性从80.6%下降至67.8%,到2.20%从19.2%增加到31.1%。也就是说,投资者已经衡量了"超软化"预期的积极性。事实上,许多人只是忘记了美联储停止卸下自己的余额,摆脱抵押贷款证券,而且历史上认为这样的措施相当于将利率降低0.25%。结果,欧元回到周一的区间,更加平静的投资者等待杰克逊霍尔的消息。活动今天开幕,杰罗姆鲍威尔明天将发言。昨天交易量低于平均水平。

马林振荡器尚未在日线图上"冷却",信号线略有增加。

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在四小时图上,昨天的增长在平衡指标线上停止。 与前几天一样,价格仍在1.1066-1.1120的预期范围内。 我们期待今天或明天打破区间,下跌至1.0980 - 138.2%斐波那契反应水平(日线)。

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Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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