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人民币对美元的升值幅度进一步扩大
15-01-2021 08:43
人民币对美元的升值幅度进一步扩大
人民币对美元的升值幅度进一步扩大

今年,美元受到来自在岸人民币的强大压力。自去年11月以来,上证综指一直自信地以高于中间价的最大溢价交易。此外,这一趋势正在加速。此外,追踪一篮子主要全球货币兑美元走势的BBDXY指数也在测试关键支撑。

上周初,人民币对美元汇率飙升,达到了过去三个月来的最高水平。在岸人民币比中间价高出约700点,是11月初以来的最高水平。这种趋势很难说是短暂的,因为人民币兑美元汇率已经连续第二周在6.4756元人民币的区间内波动。

市场参与者对中国央行(pboc)的反应感到意外。为了应对国家货币的这种波动,监管机构通常会采取措施限制人民币的升值。不过,这一次,央行并不急于介入,因为人民币走强不会对出口产生严重影响。对中国商品(主要是医疗产品)的需求仍然很高。这意味着人民币的强势不会抑制中国的经济增长。

本月,人民币对美元可能继续走高,而美元将很难承受这种下行压力。

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

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