28.11.2022: Investors digesting new COVID risks and US retail sales (S&P500, USD, CAD, Bitcoin).
01.02.2023: Wall Street anticipating red-hot forecast for 2023.
2023-02-01 19:29 UTC+3
01.02.2023: How results of FOMC meeting may affect European currencies? EUR/USD and GBP/USD
2023-02-01 17:01 UTC+3
01.02.2023: Fed meeting in focus. Outlook for oil, gold, RUB
2023-02-01 16:59 UTC+3
01.02.2023: USD trapped in narrow range; outlook for USDX, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, NZD/USD
2023-02-01 14:32 UTC+3
31.01.2023: Investors revising portfolios ahead of Fed verdict (S&P500, USD, CAD, Bitcoin).
2023-01-31 19:45 UTC+3
31.01.2023: Crucial moment for European currencies. Outlook for EUR/USD and GBP/USD.
2023-01-31 16:33 UTC+3
31.01.2023: Markets await Fed and ECB meetings. Outlook for oil, gold, RUB
2023-01-31 16:03 UTC+3
30.01.2023: Wall Street expresses risk aversion ahead of central banks’ meetings.
2023-01-30 19:44 UTC+3
30.01.2023: ECB influences market more than Fed. Outlook for EUR/USD and GBP/USD.
2023-01-30 16:49 UTC+3
30.01.2023: USD begins week on higher note. Outlook for oil, gold, RUB
2023-01-30 15:11 UTC+3
27.01.2023: Wall Street evaluating consumer spending and corporate earnings.
2023-01-27 19:10 UTC+3
27.01.2023: US may avoid recession. Outlook for oil, gold, RUB
2023-01-27 15:14 UTC+3
27.01.2023: USD stuck in narrow range; outlook for USDX, USD/JPY, AUD/USD
2023-01-27 14:24 UTC+3
26.01.2023: Wall Street in limbo (S&P500, USD, CAD, Bitcoin).
2023-01-26 19:40 UTC+3
25.01.2023: Signs of recession in US may boost EUR and GBP. Outlook for EUR/USD and GBP/USD
2023-01-26 17:25 UTC+3
26.01.2023: Oil prices settle unchanged despite weaker dollar. Outlook for oil, gold, RUB
2023-01-26 16:21 UTC+3
26.01.2023: Speculators await crucial economic data; outlook for USDX, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, NZD/USD
2023-01-26 15:32 UTC+3
25.01.2023: Wall Street clouded by pessimism (S&P500, USD, CAD, Bitcoin).
2023-01-25 20:23 UTC+3
25.01.2023: USD to go on falling? Outlook for EUR/USD and GBP/USD
2023-01-25 18:12 UTC+3
25.01.2023: Oil prices pull back. Outlook for oil, gold, RUB
2023-01-25 15:08 UTC+3
25.01.2023: USD and JPY choppy ahead of crucial data; outlook for USDX, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, NZD/USD
2023-01-25 15:06 UTC+3
Hi, dear traders! InstaForex analysts are ready to share their forecasts with you. This trading week is jam-packed with macroeconomic reports and events. Investors are alert to the US nonfarm payrolls, GDP data, and comments from Fed’s policymakers in order to fine-tune their strategies.

For a start, let’s analyze the results of the last trading week. The benchmark stock indices closed mixed on Friday. The Dow Jones logged the strongest performance. The index jumped 152 points to close 0.45% up. The Nasdaq slipped 0.58% on Friday. The S&P 500 shed 1 point or 0.03% to close at 4,026.
The stock market opened in the red on Monday. The S&P is expected to trade in the intraday corridor between 3,910 and 4,040.
Wall Street closed sluggishly the last short trading week. The trading volume measured 4.54 billion shares, much lower than the average volume of 11.25 billion shares for the last 20 trading days. Interestingly, the three key indices closed the week with gains with the Dow Jones taking the lead. It logged the biggest gain of 1.78%.
The Nasdaq lacked luster being under pressure from Apple whose facility in China delivers worrisome news. The flagship factory Foxconn in China is expected to decrease its supplies in November because thousands of employees quitted jobs in light of the last wave of discontent.  
Clashes in China persisted over the weekend and on Monday. Since mid-week, Beijing reported new daily records of COVID cases. On Monday, the authorities updated a new peak for 5 days in a row. The lion’s share of cases is symptom-free.
No doubt, the protests against COVID restrictions in China and social unrest are the culprit of global risk aversion. Market participants are trying to puzzle out what to expect from the second-largest global economy. Any lockdown release will instantly boost the appetite for risk. On the contrary, tightening restrictions will spark off fears of low demand, a downturn in manufacturing, and logistic problems.
Apart from global jitters, Wall Street will evaluate consumer activity in the US. The pre-Christmas season is an accurate barometer of consumer sentiment. The information on Black Friday was mixed. On the one hand, retailers did not report a flood of consumers. On the other hand, retail sales were extremely robust.
The US National Retail Federation forecasts that Christmas sales, including e-commerce, could expand 6-8% in November and December. It is 13.5% lower than the surge last year, following a growth of 9.3% in 2020.
Such data might cheer up investors and, in turn, propel a Santa Claus rally in the stock market. On the flip side, strong retail sales could encourage the US Fed to make its rhetoric more aggressive.
In any case, the equity market is at the crossroads, being sensitive to Fed’s speakers. To sum up, the New York session today could be gloomy. Apart from pandemic fears, Fed policymakers might put extra pressure on Wall Street. James Bullard and John Williams are due to speak tonight.The US dollar gained ground on Friday but it is trading lower today like most assets. Its index lost another 0.4% in the pre-market and sank to 105.6. The intraday corridor for the index is seen between 104.9 and 106.2.

Despite a minor growth on Friday, the US dollar is pinned at multi-month lows, being weighed down by the prospects of moderation in the Fed’s cycle of rate hikes.

The Fed’s minutes released on Wednesday showed that most members of the rate-setting committee found it appropriate to ease the pace of further rate hikes.

Besides, an increase in US initial unemployment claims and a lower-than-expected CPI convinced investors that the US dollar might snap its rally.

From now on, analysts suppose that the US Fed will raise the funds rate by 50 basis points in December. This likelihood is measured at 71.1%. The federal funds rate will reach its peak in June 2023.


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00:00 INTRO
00:35 S&P500
01:10 USA
02:05 CHINA
02:59 QUOTES
04:27 USDX
06:33 USD | CAD
07:00 OIL
08:19 BTC | USD
Trader’s calendar on January 30- February 1: Fed’s rate decision keeps traders in suspense.
Trader’s calendar on January 26-27: USD facing challenge.
Trader’s calendar on January 12-13: US Fed beats inflation?
Trader’s calendar on January 5-6: Recession fears resurface in financial markets.
Trader’s calendar on January 2-4: How financial markets to start 2023?
Trader’s calendar on 19 – 21 December: Traders should keep calm.
Today the network of international InstaForex broker representatives has over 200 offices all over the world. One of them is in Kuala Lumpur, the capital of Malaysia. The company’s office is comfortably located on the 40th floor of the world-famous skyscrapers – Petronas Twin Towers raising over 450 meters high. The towers are considered as the symbol of the capital which is cultural, economic and financial center of Malaysia. We present you the reportage of InstaForex TV film group that visited the modern South-Asian megalopolis.
Artur Uryupin, analyst at InstaForex: "A tendency for traders to sit in front of the monitor is disease of all newcomers". (ShowFx World Conference in Yekaterinburg)
Trader’s calendar on January 30- February 1: Fed’s rate decision keeps traders in suspense.
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