EURUSD has pulled back after reaching very close to our target at 1.1160. Price made a higher high at 1.1147 and has since then pulled back towards 1.1011 without making a lower low. The important short-term trend line support remains intact.

Blue lines - bearish divergence

Black line -expected price path

Green line - support trend line

EURUSD remains above the green trend line confirming short-term trend is bullish. Price has made a new higher high but the RSI did not follow. This is a bearish warning. However I believe the most probable scenario would be for price to move for new higher high above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and then reverse to the downside breaking the green trend line and the previous higher lows. If price breaks below the green trend line before making a new higher high then we turn immediately bearish targeting 1.06-1.07 area for at least a test of recent lows.