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Technical Analysis:

  • AUD/USD has spiked past major hurdle at 0.75 which was converged 100 & 200 DMAs.
  • Momentum with the bulls, we see scope for test of 78.6% Fib at 0.7645.
  • Minor weakness on intraday charts should be used as buying opportunities.
  • Weakness only on close below 0.75 handle, test of 0.7469 (50% Fib) then likely.
  • On the weekly charts, the pair trades above 100-MA at 0.7432. 
  • RSI and Stochs on weekly charts are biased higher and MACD is on verge of a bullish crossover.

Fundamental Factors:

  • Aussie continues to gain support from solid Chinese bulk prices and the general correction in USD
  • Data released earlier today showed Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence Index increased to 97.4 in January from previous 97.3
  • US CPI release and Yellen speech will be in focus - as the unwinding of the Trump trade appears to have gathered pace.


1H       Bearish          Neutral    
4H       Neutral           Neutral        
1D       Bullish           Neutral        
1W      Bullish           Neutral  

Support levels - 0.7512 (5-DMA), 0.75 (1H 200-SMA, 100&200 DMA), 0.7465 (Jan 17 low), 0.74

Resistance levels - 0.7568 (Jan 17 high), 0.76, 0.7645 (78.6% Fib)

Call Update: Our previous call ( has achieved all targets.

Recommendation: Good to go long on dips around 0.7520, SL: 0.7470, TP: 0.7570/ 0.76/ 0.7645