empty
 
 

2018.12.1406:37:00UTC+00Euro Lower After Bundesbank's Growth Downgrade, Weak Eurozone And German PMI

The euro fell sharply against its major opponents in the European session on Friday, after Bundesbank cut German growth forecasts for this year and next and as business growth across the currency bloc slowed further in December.

Data from IHS Markit showed that Eurozone business activity slowed to the weakest in over four years in December, amid stagnating new business inflows, slowdown in job growth and deterioration in business optimism.

The composite purchasing managers' index fell to 51.3 from 52.7 in the previous month. Economists had expected a score of 52.8.

The manufacturing PMI dropped to a 34-month low of 51.4 from 51.8 in November. The reading was forecast to remain unchanged.

The services PMI declined to a 49-month low of 51.4, from November's 53.4. Economists had expected the reading to remain unchanged.

Separate data showed that German private sector activity grew at the slowest pace in four years in December.

The composite purchasing managers' index, or PMI, which combines manufacturing and services, dropped to 52.2 from 52.3 in November. Economists had forecast a score of 52.4.

The manufacturing PMI dropped to a 33-month low of 51.5 from 51.8 in November. Economists had expected a reading of 51.7.

The services PMI decreased to a seven-month low of 52.5 from 53.3 in November. Economists were looking for a score of 52.4.

Germany's central bank slashed economic growth forecast for this year and next citing downside risks to economy.

Bundesbank lowered its 2018 GDP growth forecast to 1.5 percent from 2.0 percent projected in June. For 2019, the central bank revised down the GDP outlook to 1.6 percent from previous estimate of 1.9 percent.

European shares fell amid rising concerns about global growth after the latest batch of economic data from China fell short of expectations.

Weak eurozone economic data, disappointing manufacturing activity reports from Germany and France, Brexit uncertainty and doubts about U.S. and China striking a trade deal anytime soon are all contributing to the weakness in the market.

Preliminary data from the Federal Statistical Office showed that Germany's wholesale price inflation slowed in November, entirely reversing the acceleration seen in the previous month.

The wholesale price index rose 3.5 percent year-on-year following a 4 percent increase in October. The measure climbed at 3.5 percent in September.

The currency was trading mixed against its major counterparts in the Asian session. While it declined against the greenback and the yen, it held steady against the franc. Against the pound, it rose.

The euro declined to more than a 2-week low of 1.1287 against the greenback, after rising to 1.1365 at 7:45 pm ET. On the downside, 1.10 is likely seen as the next support for the euro.

Pulling away from an early high of 129.12 against the yen, the euro slipped to a weekly low of 128.12. The euro is seen finding support around the 126.5 mark.

Data from the Bank of Japan showed that an index of business and manufacturing sentiment in Japan held steady in the fourth quarter of 2018.

The large manufacturing index was unchanged with a score of +19, beating expectations for +18. The outlook came in at +15, shy of forecasts for +17 and down from +19 in the previous three months.

The single currency dropped to a 2-day low of 1.1242 against the franc, from a high of 1.1295 seen at 12:30 am ET. The euro is poised to challenge support around the 1.10 region.

The euro reversed from an early high of 0.9005 against the pound, falling to 0.8961. Next key support for the euro is seen around the 0.88 area.

The euro slipped to a weekly low of 1.5111 against the loonie, after having risen to 1.5202 at 3:00 am ET. If the euro falls further, 1.50 is likely seen as its next support level.

The common currency retreated to 1.5753 against the aussie and 1.6626 against the kiwi, from its early 4-day high of 1.5823 and more than a 2-week high of 1.6728, respectively. The next likely support for the euro is seen around 1.56 against the aussie and 1.64 against the kiwi.

Looking ahead, U.S. retail sales and industrial production for November, business inventories for October and Markit's preliminary services PMI for December are scheduled for release in the New York session.

  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Chancy Deposit
    Deposit your account with $3,000 and get $8000 more!
    In March we raffle $8000 within the Chancy Deposit campaign!
    Get a chance to win by depositing $3,000 to a trading account. Having fulfilled this condition, you become a campaign participant.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Trade Wise, Win Device
    Top up your account with at least $500, sign up for the contest, and get a chance to win mobile devices.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • 100% Bonus
    Your unique opportunity to get a 100% bonus on your deposit
    GET BONUS
  • 55% Bonus
    Apply for a 55% bonus on your every deposit
    GET BONUS
  • 30% Bonus
    Receive a 30% bonus every time you top up your account
    GET BONUS


Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback