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Exchange Rates 12.04.2019 analysis

On January 10th, the market initiated the depicted bearish channel around 1.1570.

Since then, the EURUSD pair has been moving within the depicted channel with slight bearish tendency.

On March 7th, recent bearish movement was demonstrated towards 1.1175 (channel's lower limit) where significant bullish recovery was demonstrated.

Bullish persistence above 1.1270 enhanced further bullish advancement towards 1.1290-1.1315 (the Highlighted-Zone) which failed to provide adequate bearish pressure.

On March 18, a significant bullish attempt was executed above 1.1380 (the upper limit of the Highlighted-channel) demonstrating a false/temporary bullish breakout.

On March 22, significant bearish pressure was demonstrated towards 1.1280 then 1.1220.

By the end of last week, a bullish Head and Shoulders reversal pattern was demonstrated around 1.1200.

As expected, this enhanced further bullish advancement towards 1.1300-1.1315 (supply zone) where recent bearish rejection is being demonstrated now.

Short-term outlook turns to become bearish towards 1.1280 (61.8% Fibonacci) where price action should be watched cautiously.

For Intraday traders, the price zone around 1.1280 stands as a prominent demand area to be watched for another valid BUY entry if enough bullish rejection is expressed.

On the other hand, bearish breakdown below 1.1280 opens the way for further bearish decline towards 1.1250-1.1235.

Trade recommendations :

Conservative traders were suggested to have a valid BUY entry around 1.1235. It's running in profits now.

TP levels to be located around 1.1320 and 1.1440. SL should be advanced to 1.1270 to offset the associated risk.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Performed by Mohamed Samy,
Analytical expert
InstaForex Group © 2007-2019
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