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The US dollar fell against the European currency and other assets yesterday amid the largest drop in US stock markets. There is also a sharp increase in the yield of the US government bonds, which indicates the outflow of capital from the markets.

  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 831 points, or 3.2%, to 25598 points.
  • The S & P 500 fell 94 points, or 3.3%, to 2785 points.
  • The Nasdaq Composite lost 315 points, or 4.1%, to 7422 points.

Donald Trump and the White House critic

Exchange Rates 11.10.2018 analysis

Immediately after this, a number of statements were made by the representatives of the US presidential administration and by Donald Trump himself. He once again criticized the actions of the Federal Reserve System, which, in his opinion, impede the healthy growth of the country's economy.

A spokeswoman for the White House, Sarah Sanders, released a statement after a sharp drop in the stock market, saying that the fundamentals and prospects for the US economy remain extremely strong, and Trump's economic policies have created a stable base for further growth. This had little effect on the situation.

Following this, Donald Trump expressed his opinion about the fall of the stock market, saying that the Fed lost its head, and the fall of the stock market was just a correction that we had been waiting for a long time.

As for the European currency, its strengthening continued against the backdrop of a fall in the US dollar due to data on inventories.

According to a report by the US Department of Commerce, wholesale inventories rose by 1.0% in August 2018 compared with the previous month, while economists had expected stocks to grow by 0.8%. Sales in August rose by 9.2% compared with the same period of the previous year. The ratio of stocks to sales in August was 1.26 against the same level in July.

Exchange Rates 11.10.2018 analysis
As for the technical picture of the EUR / USD currency pair, the bet on the continuation of the growth of the euro will be made in the support area of 1.1540, to which buyers climbed yesterday. Hold this level will keep the upward wave in the euro, which will lead to an update of the resistance levels of 1.1590 and 1.1640. In the case of a larger euro decline, long positions can be considered in the region of the lower boundary of the upward channel of 1.1515.

Japanese Yen

Meanwhile, a sharp drop in stock markets and a decline in the US dollar led to a return in demand for the Japanese yen, as investors refused to risk and rely on the European currency, which now has so many of its problems.

The USD / JPY currency pair fell from 113.20 to 112.20 today at the beginning of the European session.

Following such a sharp increase in the yen, a statement was made by a member of the board of the Bank of Japan Sakurai, who said that further significant easing of the policy is justified, as the uncertainty around the global economy increases. Let me remind you that the Japanese government does not need a strong yen, as this will further contain inflationary pressure.

Sakurai also noted that at present the main risk factors are protectionist policies and capital outflows from emerging markets.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Performed by Eder Anderson,
Analytical expert
InstaForex Group © 2007-2019
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