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31.07.202018:05 Comprehensive analysis of movement options for #USDX vs EUR/USD & GBP/USD & USD/JPY (Daily) on August 2020

Long-term review

Minor operational scale (Daily)

Dream and reality flights in July will continue in August? Or are we still waiting for a correction? Options for the development of the movement for #USDX vs EUR/USD & GBP/USD & USD/JPY (Daily) on August 1, 2020.

____________________

US dollar index

From August 01, 2020, the movement of the dollar index #USDX will depend on the direction of the breakout of the range:

  • resistance level of 93.40 - the upper limit of ISL38.2 equilibrium zone of the Minor operational scale fork;
  • support level of 92.85 - upper bound of ISL38.2 equilibrium zone of the Minute operational scale fork.

In the case of breakdown of the resistance level of 93.40 at the upper boundary ISL38.2 equilibrium zone of the Minute operational scale fork, the movement of the dollar index will be sent to the borders of the channel 1/2 Median Line (93.70 - 94.05 - 94.45) of the Minute operational scale fork, and if it will be the place to be break of the upper border (94.45) this channel, then the upward movement #USDX can be continued to the objectives:

  • control line UTL Minute (95.50);
  • initial SSL line (96.55) of the Minor operational scale fork;
  • local maximum 97.79.

In case of a breakdown of the support level of 92.85 at ISL38.2 Minute, the movement of the dollar index will continue in the equilibrium zone (92.85 - 92.15 - 91.55) of the Minute operational scale fork, and if there is a joint breakdown of ISL61.8 Minute (91.55) and the lower border of ISL61.8 (91.15) the equilibrium zones of the Minor operational scale fork, then the downward movement of #USDX can be continued to the final FSL Minute line (89.70) and the final FSL Minor line (87.55).

The layout of the #USDX movement options from August 1, 2020 is shown on the animated chart.

Exchange Rates 31.07.2020 analysis

____________________

Euro vs US dollar

The single European currency EUR/USD will continue to move from August 1, 2020, depending on the development and direction of the breakdown of the boundaries of the equilibrium zone (1.1885 - 1.1830 - 1.1780) of the Minute operational scale fork - details of movement within this equilibrium zone are shown on the animated graph.

In case of a breakdown of the support level 1.1780 at the lower border of the ISL38.2 channel, the equilibrium zone of the Minute operational scale fork, the downward movement of the single European currency can be continued to the borders of the 1/2 Median Line Minute channel (1.1695 - 1.1655 - 1.1615) with the prospect of reaching the control line LTL Minute ( 1.1480) and to the upper boundary ISL61.8 (1.1340) of the balance zone of the Minute operational scale fork.

Breakdown of the resistance level of 1.1885 at the upper border of the ISL61.8 channel of the equilibrium zone of the Minute operational scale fork - a variant of the continuation of the EUR/USD upward movement towards the targets:

  • warning line UWL61. 8 (1.1940) of the Minor operational scale fork.;
  • reference line UTL Minor (1.2100);
  • end line FSL Minute (1.2135).

The EUR/USD movement options from August 1, 2020 are shown on the animated chart.

Exchange Rates 31.07.2020 analysis

____________________

Great Britain pound vs US dollar

The development of the movement of Her Majesty's currency GBP/USD from August 1, 2020 will also be due to the development and direction of the breakdown of the boundaries of the equilibrium zone (1.3280 - 1.3170 - 1.3080) of the Minute operational scale fork - details of movement inside this channel are shown on the animated chart.

The breakdown of the support level of 1.3080 on the bottom of the channel ISJ38.2 equilibrium zone of the Minute operational scale fork will direct the movement of GBP/USD to the borders of the channel 1/2 Median Line Minute (1.2825 - 1.2745 - 1.2665), when breaking the lower border (1.2665) which downward movement can be continued to the line of control UTL (1.2575) of the Minor operational scale fork, and to the control line LTL Minute (1.2430).

The breakdown of the resistance level of 1.3280 on the top border ISL61.8 equilibrium zone of the Minute operational scale fork will be relevant in the continued development of the upward movement of the currency of Her Majesty to the end of the line FSL Minute (1.3660).

We look at the options for the movement of GBP/USD from August 1, 2020 on an animated chart.

Exchange Rates 31.07.2020 analysis

____________________

US dollar vs Japanese yen

The development of the movement of the currency of the "Land of the Rising Sun" USD/JPY from August 1, 2020 will be determined by the development and direction of the breakdown of the range:

  • resistance level of 105.30 - the upper limit of the 1/2 medium Line channel of the Minor operational scale fork;
  • support level of 105.10 - lower bound of ISL61.8 balance zone of the Minute operational scale fork.

The breakdown of the resistance level of 105.35 on the upper border of the channel 1/2 Median Line Minor will confirm the movement of the currency "Land of the Rising Sun" in the zone of equilibrium (105.10 - 105.60 - 106.20) of the Minute operational scale fork, and if you happen to breakdown ISL38.2 Minute (106.20), the upward movement of the USD/JPY will continue to the ultimate Shiff Line Minute (106.60) with the prospect of reaching the zone boundary equilibrium (107.25 - 108.65 - 110.00) of the Minor operational scale fork, and channel 1/2 Median Line Minute (108.00 - 108.45 - 108.95).

A breakout of the lower border ISL61.8 zone equilibrium of the Minute operational scale fork - support level of 105.10 - will determine further movement of the USD/JPY in the channel 1/2 Median Line (105.35 - 104.00 - 102.70) of the Minor operational scale fork.

The markup of the USD/JPY movement options from August 1, 2020 is shown on the animated chart.

Exchange Rates 31.07.2020 analysis

____________________

The review is compiled without taking into account the news background, the opening of trading sessions of the main financial centers and is not a guide to action (placing "sell" or "buy" orders).

Formula for calculating the dollar index:

USDX = 50.14348112 * USDEUR0.576 * USDJPY0.136 * USDGBP0.119 * USDCAD0.091 * USDSEK0.042 * USDCHF0.036.

Where the power coefficients correspond to the weights of currencies in the basket:

Euro - 57.6 %;

Yen - 13.6 %;

Pound sterling - 11.9 %;

Canadian dollar - 9.1 %;

Swedish Krona - 4.2 %;

Swiss franc - 3.6 %.

The first coefficient in the formula brings the index value to 100 on the starting date - March 1973, when the main currencies began to be freely quoted relative to each other.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Performed by Ratu Taslim,
Analytical expert
InstaForex Group © 2007-2020
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