Gold price held the support of $1,200 last week and now is trying once again to break above the weekly resistance at $1,225. The short-term trend has changed to bullish, so this increases the chances of an upward move towards $1,250.

Black line = resistance

Red line = support

Gold price has broken above the short-term resistance trend line and above the Ichimoku cloud on the 4-hour chart. This is a bullish signal. This implies that an important low was made at $1,188 and that we should expect a tradeable bounce towards $1,250. Strong resistance is also at the 61.8% retracement of the decline at $1,262.

The weekly chart shows how the price is trying to break above the kijun-sen (yellow line). The trend is bearish in the longer term, but we cannot rule out a bounce towards the cloud resistance at $1,260-$1,270.