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05.06.2012 12:56 PM
EUR/NZD long-term trend still down

Clearly EUR/NZD established a long-term downtrend. Before this, EUR/NZD failed to break above R2 (1.57 area) that would confirm a new higher high. While every new low being lower as well as every new high being lower, bears should be dominating in the mid-term future.

With two different downtrend trendlines applied to the chart, a strong resistance area has come into play. This is R1 level (1.54), which is also a round number and a psychological barrier. Early this week, both trendlines have been rejected suggesting that down trend might continue.

Now, it seems wise to start looking for sell opportunities on pullbacks as the market could be too low to enter the short trade at this point. Target either S2 (1.4820) or S3 (1.4636) support levels.

Support: 1.5039, 1.4819, 1.4636

Resistance: 1.5398, 1.5679

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