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28.07.2016 09:12 AM
Technical analysis of USDX for July 28, 2016

The Dollar index had a volatile session yesterday due to the FOMC last night. Yesterday price got rejected once again at the resistance of 97.60; it reversed and broke below 96.70 the breakout level confirming the false breakout. This is a bearish signal that will put pressure on the Dollar for at least a week.

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Black line - breakout level

Blue line - trend line support

Red lines - long-term trading range

The Dollar index is testing the 4-hour Kumo support and the trend line support. Breaking below 96.50 will be a bearish sign. In this case it will open the way for a deeper correction towards 95, at least. Resistance is at 97. We have now a confirmed false breakout and reversal. This is bearish.

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The weekly candle got rejected at the upper cloud boundary. Price is now testing the lower cloud boundary and could very easily push lower towards the weekly kijun-sen. This support is just above 95. So, the weakness that will push the dollar index towards 95 is expected as long as the price is below 97.

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