Daily Outlook

In January 2017, the previous downtrend reversed when the Head and Shoulders pattern was established around 1.0500. Since then, evident bullish momentum has been expressed on the chart.

The next daily supply level for the EUR/USD pair is located between 1.1400-1.1520 where price action should be watched for possible bearish rejection.

Recent update: the price levels around 1.1280-1.1295 constituted the intraday resistance where the current bearish movement was initiated.

The bearish pullback will probably extend towards 1.1110 and 1.1000 provided that the EUR/USD pair keeps trading below 1.1170.

On the other hand, a bullish breakout above 1.1285 will be mandatory to pursue a further advance towards 1.1400.

H4 Outlook

On May 30, a significant bullish rejection was expressed around the price level of 1.1170 (lower Limit of the Wedge pattern in confluence with 61.8% Fibonacci Level ).

On June 14, a significant bearish rejection was expressed around the depicted supply level 1.1280-1.1295 (the upper limit of the Wedge pattern).

This was followed by a bearish breakdown of the lower limit of the Wedge pattern as well.

Today, bearish persistence below 1.1170 (lower limit of the Wedge pattern and 61.8% Fibonacci correction) will be needed to enhance a further decline towards 1.1110 and 1.1050.

On the other hand, note that re-closure above 1.1200 (lower limit of the wedge pattern) brings bullish pressure into the market again. This allows a further advance towards 1.1270 initially.

Trade recommendations:

A valid SELL entry can be considered around the price levels of 1.1200 (61.8% Fibonacci Level).

S/L should be placed above 1.1220 (the most recent top) while T/P levels should be placed at 1.1100, 1.1050 and 1.0850.