empty
 
 

20.10.202108:41 Ανάλυση και κριτικές Forex: GBP/USD breaking forecast on October 20, 2021

The pound's rally stopped ahead of the North American session despite disappointing housing starts data in the US. The reading fell by 1.6%, missing expectations of a 0.9% drop. On top of that, building permits plunged by 7.8%. The indicator had been forecast to decrease by 1.8%. All this indicates that housing starts will continue to fall. Given all that, the greenback should have gone down. Instead, it edged higher. Since the publication of the industrial production report in the US, the sterling has skyrocketed, becoming overbought as a result.

United States Housing Starts:

Exchange Rates 20.10.2021 analysis

Nevertheless, GBP is incurring losses today despite a slowdown in the UK's inflation to 3.1% versus 3.2%. Although the current drop in the reading is seen as a positive factor amid a global increase in inflation, it does not change anything. Inflation is still at high levels, meaning that the Bank of England's plans for raising interest rates will remain unchanged. Moreover, such a modest fall in inflation may well turn out to be temporary, and its growth could resume next month. In addition, the sterling's recent growth may turn out to be too sharp and too rapid given that all the factors that boosted the greenback have not gone anywhere. Generally speaking, the bullish trend in USD is resuming.

United Kingdom Inflation:

Exchange Rates 20.10.2021 analysis

The corrective move in GBPUSD has resumed. As a result, the pair updated its swing high and headed towards the resistance zone of 1.3800/1.3830.

The Relative Strenght Index (RSI) is moving within the oversold zone of the H4 chart. From time to time, it touches line 70, signaling increased demand for long positions.

Meanwhile, the 50.0% retracement level provided resistance to the quote on its way upward.

There is a bearish trend on the D1 chart. In its structure, a full-size corrective move took place between September 30 and October 19.

Outlook:

It can be assumed that the trend may reverse, which is confirmed by the pound's oversold status. Consolidation below 1.3780 will signal to sell the pair. Consequently, it may go down to 1.3730. If so, the price is likely to continue falling.

In terms of complex indicator analysis, technical indicators are signalling to sell the pair for intraday and short-term trading due to a pullback from the resistance level.

Exchange Rates 20.10.2021 analysis

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Dean Leo,
Αναλυτικός εμπειρογνώμονας της InstaForex
© 2007-2021
Benefit from analysts’ recommendations right now
Top up trading account
Open trading account

InstaForex analytical reviews will make you fully aware of market trends! Being an InstaForex client, you are provided with a large number of free services for efficient trading.

Hot forecast for EUR/USD on 12/6/2021
To some extent, the single European currency behaved somewhat strangely, because despite a lot of published macroeconomic data, which all did not coincide with forecasts, it stood still all day
Author: Dean Leo
01:55 2021-12-06 UTC--5
2353
Hot forecast for EUR/USD on 12/2/2021
Although the employment data turned out to be worse than forecasted, it still showed incredibly strong growth, so it is not surprising that the dollar continues to gradually strengthen its position, while the European statistics...
Author: Dean Leo
02:11 2021-12-02 UTC--5
7303
Breaking forecast for GBP/USD, December 1st
Yesterday, the market was quite volatile following Jerome Powell's speech. The US dollar maintains its upward movement. Analysts are sure that it may develop a long-term rally.
Author: Dean Leo
01:51 2021-12-01 UTC--5
5368
Show more
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.