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01.11.2010 11:28 AM
AUD/USD Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels, November 1, 2010

AUD/USD is still trading in the range limited by 1.0002 and 0.9651. According to wave count on dailies the current wave down is corrective wave 4. Within this wave 4 there's subwave B developing - colored royal blue in the chart. However to confirm that this wave is B break below 0.9651 is needed. In case the price breaks above 1.0002 this wave will be considered wave A within daily wave 5.

So far the targets above the current price level are Fibonacci expansions off 0.9651-0.9819-0.9678, 0.9678-0.9821-0.9788.

Resistances:

- 0.9931 = objective point (OP)
- 0.9950 = expanded objective point (XOP)
- 1.0019 = XOP

In case the price reverses down the nearest supports will be Fibonacci retracements of the wave up starting from 0.9678 (wave not developed yet).

This image is no longer relevant

Overbought/Oversold

The Detrended Oscillator is above the zero level with two latest peaks showing a divergence with the price. This may be an early indication of a reversal. Assuming that the long term uptrend needs confirmation above 1.0002 it's preferable to seek for topping signals to enter short in the vicinity of a Fibonacci resistance (see listed above) or when the price hits an overbought level - 15-25 pips to go.

Read more on how to apply Fibonacci studies to calculate price targets.

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