empty
 
 
19.04.2021 07:49 AM
Bitcoin lost 12% over the weekend and is awaiting the reaction of institutional investors to the events in China

This image is no longer relevant

On Sunday, the world's first cryptocurrency crashed down by 15% of its value, but by the end of the day, it managed to eliminate about half of the losses. However, the main thing happened – the bitcoin quotes went beyond the ascending channel, as well as below the critical line. Thus, the probability of the beginning of a long and strong correction is now very high. Recall that bitcoin, as well as the entire cryptocurrency market, collapsed due to the news of power outages in one of the provinces of China, which caused many mining farms to be disconnected and the hashrate of the network fell by 40%. This message sounded quite harmless yesterday, as the power outages are clearly expected to end soon. But a little later, it turned out that the power outage occurred in the region where the largest number of mining capacities in the country, which accounts for the largest number of mining farms, is located. Thus, up to 30% of the participants were immediately disconnected from the network, which led to panic and mass closing of long positions on bitcoin and on other cryptocurrencies.

A little later, another thing became known: it turned out that in the United States, the Ministry of Finance may launch an investigation against several large financial institutions that allegedly laundered money in cryptocurrencies. What these institutions are is not reported. By and large, this message can only be considered as rumors at the moment, since there were no official statements from the Ministry of Finance. Nevertheless, in total, these two events caused the effect of an exploding bomb and the cryptocurrency market crashed down.

At the moment, bitcoin is trading around $56,000 per coin, but the most important test is ahead. The European and US stock exchanges, which were closed on Saturday and Sunday, will open today, and we will be able to find out the reaction of large and institutional investors to the events of this weekend. Recall that some stock exchanges have bitcoin futures, as well as listed shares of companies associated with bitcoin. That is, for example, the shares of Tesla and MicroStrategy today can greatly decrease in price. In any case, no one knows how big investors will react to what has happened. At least on Monday, everything will depend on them, as private investors showed their reaction yesterday. If the sell-off continues, bitcoin will resume falling. Thus, it is still very early to relax, as anything can happen. Also, from our point of view, it makes no sense to buy bitcoin now, as several technical signals at once indicate the beginning of a correction.

This image is no longer relevant

In technical terms, bitcoin is fixed below the critical line, as well as below the ascending channel. According to all the canons of technical analysis and the Ichimoku indicator, a downward correction should now follow. However, we must also pay attention to one important fact: yesterday, BTC quotes fell exactly to the previous local low near the level of $50,770, and they bounced off it. This point, of course, hardly speaks in favor of the fact that the correction is complete, but it forced us to reconsider the support levels. Now, they are located at the following price values: $43,850, $50,770 and $55,990. Two of them were worked out yesterday.

Paolo Greco,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2024
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Chancy Deposit
    Deposit your account with $3,000 and get $1000 more!
    In April we raffle $1000 within the Chancy Deposit campaign!
    Get a chance to win by depositing $3,000 to a trading account. Having fulfilled this condition, you become a campaign participant.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Trade Wise, Win Device
    Top up your account with at least $500, sign up for the contest, and get a chance to win mobile devices.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • 100% Bonus
    Your unique opportunity to get a 100% bonus on your deposit
    GET BONUS
  • 55% Bonus
    Apply for a 55% bonus on your every deposit
    GET BONUS
  • 30% Bonus
    Receive a 30% bonus every time you top up your account
    GET BONUS

Recommended Stories

Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback