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Exchange Rates 22.08.2019 analysis

Back in June 24, the EURUSD looked overbought around 1.1400 facing a confluence of supply levels which generated significant bearish pressure over the pair.

Shortly after, In the period between 8 - 22 July, a sideway consolidation-range was established between 1.1200 - 1.1275 until a triple-top reversal pattern was demonstrated around the upper limit.

Shortly after, evident bearish momentum (bearish engulfing H4 candlestick) could bring the EURUSD below 1.1175.

This facilitated further bearish decline towards 1.1115 (Previous Weekly Low) then 1.1025 (the lower limit of the depicted recent bearish channel) where significant signs of bullish recovery were demonstrated.

Risky traders were advised to look for bullish breakout above 1.1050 as a bullish signal for Intraday BUY entry with bullish targets around (1.1115, 1.1175 and 1.1235). All of which were successfully reached.

For the past two weeks, the depicted Key-Zone around 1.1235 has been standing as a prominent Supply Area where THREE Bearish Engulfing H4 candlesticks were demonstrated.

Thus, the EUR/USD was trapped between 1.1235-1.1175 for a few trading sessions until bearish breakout below 1.1175 occurred on August 14.

Bearish breakout below 1.1175 promoted further bearish decline towards 1.1075 where the backside of the broken bearish channel has been providing significant bullish demand so far (A Bullish Triple-Bottom pattern is in progress).

A quick bullish breakout above 1.1115 is needed to confirm the short-term trend reversal into bullish. This would enhance another bullish spike towards 1.1175.

Trade recommendations :

Conservative traders were advised to have a valid BUY entry anywhere around 1.1070 (where the backside of the broken bearish channel is roughly located).

Initial T/P levels should be located around 1.1130, 1.1175 and 1.1200.

S/L should be placed just below 1.1020.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Uitgevoerd door Mohamed Samy,
Analytische expert
InstaForex Group © 2007-2019
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