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Exchange Rates 22.08.2019 analysis

According to experts, the precious metal was in a winning position at the moment. It will not be able to be shaken by any Fed decisions, including monetary policy easing. Experts believe that a possible recession in the economy and low-interest rates will strengthen the position of the yellow metal.

Currently, gold holds the conquered peaks, although the price of the precious metal has rested in a zone of strong resistance due to high overbought. According to analysts, this is a harbinger of correction or consolidation of the value of gold in the new price range from $1,490 to $1,540 per ounce. Most experts do not expect a significant reduction in the price of precious metals. They consider the area from $1,400 to $1,460 per ounce to be the potential targets of the correction.

The current moment is favorable for the yellow metal, and the Fed's actions play a key role here. Last month, the US regulator lowered rates for the first time since the financial crisis of 2008. The head of the Fed Jerome Powell made it clear that the trade conflict between the US and China may require the further easing of monetary policy. If the Fed follows this path or resumes the quantitative easing (QE) program, we should expect a massive outflow of capital to gold, which is trading near six-year highs.

If the Fed leaves monetary policy unchanged, the probability of a recession will increase significantly, especially if Beijing and Washington fail to agree. Then the yellow metal will benefit from its status as a "safe haven" asset. In any case, gold will win, experts say. They recommend buying precious metals at any price rollback.

According to experts, the cost of gold will increase. The end of this growth wave will stop at $1900 per 1 ounce. This should be expected in about a year and a half, analysts say. At the moment, the precious metal is trading at $1508 per 1 ounce, and in the medium term, it is possible to rise to $1670 per 1 ounce.

Uitgevoerd door l Kolesnikova,
Analytische expert
InstaForex Group © 2007-2019
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