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Long-term review

We prepare a comprehensive analysis of movement options of the main currency instruments EUR / USD h4 vs #USDX h4 vs GBP / USD H4 from June 20, 2019.

Minuette (h4) operating scale

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US Dollar Index

From June 20, 2019, the development of the dollar index movements #USDX will be determined by working off and the direction of the breakdown of the boundaries of the channel of the 1/2 Median Line (97.55 <-> 97.47 <-> 97.40) Minuette operational scale fork.

The breakdown of the lower boundary (the level of support 97.40) channel of the 1/2 Median Line Minuette make urgent continuation of the downward movement of the dollar index to the boundaries of the equilibrium zone (97.20 <-> 97.03 <-> 96.85) Minuette operational scale fork with a view to achieving the initial line of the SSL (96.70) Minuette operational scale fork.

In the case of #USDX returning above the resistance level of 97.55 (the upper boundary of the 1/2 Median Line channel is at the Minuette operating scale), the development of the #USDX movement will begin again within the equilibrium zone (97.55 <-> 97.80 <-> 98.07) of the Minuette operational scale, and if the breakdown of ISL61.8 Minute (98.07) happens, then the dollar index movement can continue to maximum 98.37.

Details of the movement of the #USDX can be seen at the chart.

Exchange Rates 20.06.2019 analysis

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Euro vs US Dollar

From June 20, 2019, the development of the movement of the single European currency EUR / USD will most likely continue in the equilibrium zone (1.1175 <-> 1.1205 <-> 1.1235) of the Minuette operational scale (we look at the details on the chart), but there may be other options that we consider below:

-> The breakdown of the upper boundary of ISL38.2 (resistance level of 1.1235) of the balance zone of the Minuette operational scale fork with subsequent breakdown of the resistance level of 1.1245 will determine the movement of the single European currency within the boundaries of the channel of the 1/2 Median Line Minute (1.1245 <-> 1.1270 <-> 1.1295) with the prospect of reaching the lower boundary of the ISL38.2 (1.1315) equilibrium zone of the Minuette operating scale fork and the initial line SSL Minute (1.1333).

-> When sharing the breakdown of the level of resistance of 1.1175 (the lower boundary of the ISL61.8 balance scale Minuette operational zone fork) and the final Line Schiff Minuette (1.1165) will probably be a continuation of the downward movement of EUR / USD to the local minimums (1.1117 <-> 1.1107).

The details of the EUR / USD movement are presented in the chart.

Exchange Rates 20.06.2019 analysis

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Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar

On the other hand, the development of the movement of Her Majesty's currency GBP / USD from June 20, 2019 will be determined by the direction of the range breakdown :

-> resistance level of 1.2585 (lower boundary of the 1/2 Median Line channel Minuette);

-> support level of 1.2560 (reaction line RL23.6 Minuette operating scale fork).

In the case of the breakdown of the level of resistance of 1.2585, the development movement of GBP / USD will continue within the boundaries of the channel of the 1/2 Median Line (1.2585 <-> 1.2615 <-> 1.2640) and the equilibrium zone (1.2640 <-> 1.2680 <-> 1.2717) Minuette operational scale fork.

The breakdown of the line reaction RL23.6 Minuette (level of support 1.2560) -> the resumption of the downward movement of this currency instrument to targets -> level of support 1.2517 (the intersection of the primary lines SSL Minute and the SSL Minuette) <-> control line LTL Minuette (1.2500) <- > LTL control line (1.2427) of the Minuette operational scale fork.

Details of the GBP / USD movement are presented in the chart.

Exchange Rates 20.06.2019 analysis

The review was compiled without taking into account of the news background. The opening of trading sessions of the main financial centers does not serve as a guide to action (placing orders "sell" or "buy").

The formula for calculating the dollar index is:

USDX = 50.14348112 * USDEUR0.576 * USDJPY0.136 * USDGBP0.119 * USDCAD0.091 * USDSEK0.042 * USDCHF0.036.

where power ratios correspond to the weights of currencies in the basket:

Euro - 57.6%;

Yen - 13.6%;

Pound sterling - 11.9%;

Canadian dollar - 9.1%;

Swedish krona - 4.2%;

Swiss franc - 3.6%.

The first coefficient in the formula gives the index value to 100 on the starting date - March 1973, when the main currencies began to be freely quoted relative to each other.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Z szacunkiem,
Analityk: Ratu Taslim
GK InstaForex © 2007-2019
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