empty
 
 
06.04.2020 08:18 AM
The OPEC meeting scheduled on April 6 will not take place

This image is no longer relevant

The scheduled meeting of OPEC countries on April 6 will not take place, which may once again lead to a collapse in oil prices.

Analysts are currently having doubts whether Saudi Arabia and Russia will really agree to cut oil production by as much as Trump has suggested. This is probably because such major cuts by Russia will undermine its goal of drowning expensive American shale producers in an ocean of cheap oil.

Analysts also say that it will be difficult to reach an agreement without the participation of American shale oil producers in reducing production volumes. Trump has made it clear that he did not promise to cut supplies to the US.

"It is difficult to see all OPEC + countries cutting production by at least 10 million barrels a day. The scale of the cut would be too large for the group," , head of Commodities Strategy at ING, wrote.

"Even 10 million barrels is the lower limit advertised by Trump," said Matt Smith, Senior Oil Analyst at ClipperData.

Saudi Arabia is the largest OPEC producer to date. Since the group began limiting production in 2017, it has to do most of this hard work in order to reduce supplies. Now, it seems that Saudi wants others to start helping and do the same.

According to Warren Patterson, the implementation of such deal will require the participation of additional manufacturers, such as Canada, Brazil and, in particular, the United States.

"It is becoming increasingly difficult here, as it will not be easy to get the US oil industry to agree on production quotas, and it is unlikely to violate US antitrust laws." said Patterson.

Previous cuts by OPEC and its allies have enabled US shale producers to capture market share. Just recently, US surpassed Russia and Saudi Arabia as the world's largest oil producer.

There are signs that American manufacturers can now take part in global efforts to save oil prices.

However, Patterson said that even if oil producers reach an agreement to cut production by 10 million barrels per day, it may still not be enough to cover the oversupply in the market in the coming months, as there is still a drop in oil demand, due to the growing and prolonged blocking of borders and movement caused by the coronavirus pandemic.

"While we usually compete, we agreed that COVID-19 requires unprecedented levels of international cooperation," Ryan Sitton, Commissioner of the Texas Railroad Commission, wrote.

Anyhow, on Monday, oil opened a gap downwards, losing almost $ 4.

This image is no longer relevant

Andrey Shevchenko,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2024
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Chancy Deposit
    Deposit your account with $3,000 and get $1000 more!
    In April we raffle $1000 within the Chancy Deposit campaign!
    Get a chance to win by depositing $3,000 to a trading account. Having fulfilled this condition, you become a campaign participant.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Trade Wise, Win Device
    Top up your account with at least $500, sign up for the contest, and get a chance to win mobile devices.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • 100% Bonus
    Your unique opportunity to get a 100% bonus on your deposit
    GET BONUS
  • 55% Bonus
    Apply for a 55% bonus on your every deposit
    GET BONUS
  • 30% Bonus
    Receive a 30% bonus every time you top up your account
    GET BONUS

Recommended Stories

Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback