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15.04.2021 09:28 AM
Simplified wave analysis and forecast for EUR/USD, AUD/USD, GBP/JPY, GOLD on April 15

EUR/USD

Analysis:

The direction of movement of the major pair of the European currency is set by the bearish wave of January 6. In the last two weeks, the price has adjusted up. The quotes reached the lower limit of a strong potential reversal zone. There are no signals of an imminent change of course on the chart yet.

Forecast:

The next trading sessions are expected to see the end of the price rise, the formation of a reversal, and the beginning of a price decline. In the first half of the day, a flat mood is more likely. The greatest activity can be expected towards the end of the day.

Potential reversal zones

Resistance:

- 1.1990/1.2020

Support:

- 1.1920/1.1890

Recommendations:

Trading transactions in the euro market today carry an increased risk. The potential for purchases is exhausted. It is recommended to wait for the appearance of clear reversal signals and look for signals to sell.

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AUD/USD

Analysis:

On the chart of the Australian dollar, a hidden correction was completed within the framework of the dominant bullish momentum. Since April 1, price movements have returned to the upward course. After breaking through a strong resistance to the price, it is necessary to gain an additional wave level in the pullback.

Forecast:

In the first half of the day, a sideways movement along the support borders is most likely today. At the end of the day or tomorrow, you can expect an increase in activity and a return to the bullish rate. If the nearest resistance breaks through, the next zone will become the new target.

Potential reversal zones

Resistance:

- 0.7830/0.7860

- 0.7740/0.7770

Support:

- 0.7680/0.7650

Recommendations:

In the next sessions, until the end of the downward pullback, it is optimal to refrain from entering the pair's market. When clear reversal signals appear, purchases are recommended.

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GBP/JPY

Analysis:

The upward trend of the pound/yen pair, which began in March last year, led the pair's quotes to the area of a strong reversal zone. Since the end of February, a complex correctional structure has been formed. At the time of analysis, the wave has the form of a shifting plane. There are no signals of an imminent reversal on the chart.

Forecast:

The most likely scenario of the price movement today will be a sideways movement in the corridor between the nearest oncoming zones. After an attempt to climb to the upper limit, you can then expect a decline in the support area. There is a high probability of counter-price emissions.

Potential reversal zones

Resistance:

- 150.30/150.60

Support:

- 149.60/149.30

Recommendations:

Trading on the pair's market today carries an increased risk and can be unprofitable. Until the current wave is fully completed, it may be safer to sell the instrument from the upper limit of the price range.

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GOLD

Analysis:

The gold market has been experiencing a bearish trend since last summer. In the last month and a half, the price has been moving mainly sideways along the strong support, forming a correction plane. The structure of this wave is close to completion.

Forecast:

Over the next day, a general price increase is expected, up to the resistance zone. In the next session, a short-term decline of no more than support is not excluded.

Potential reversal zones

Resistance:

- 1760.0/1765.0

Support:

- 1735.0/1730.0

Recommendations:

Trading on the gold market is now possible within the intraday. Until clear reversal signals appear, selling in the market is risky and not recommended.

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Explanation: In the simplified wave analysis (UVA), waves consist of 3 parts (A-B-C). The last incomplete wave is analyzed. The solid background of the arrows shows the formed structure, and the dotted one shows the expected movements.

Attention: The wave algorithm does not take into account the duration of the tool movements in time!

Isabel Clark,
Especialista em análise na InstaForex
© 2007-2024
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