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21.11.2017 11:55 AM
Indicator analysis. Daily review for EUR / USD and GBP / USD pairs on November 21, 2017

On Tuesday, these are the following strong calendar news: 9.00 London time. GBP, hearings on the inflation report; 14.00 London time. USD, sales in the secondary housing market (Oct.), The expected value is 5.42M compared to the previous value of 5.39M.

EUR / USD pair

Trend analysis (Figure 1)

On Monday, the market moved down according to the weekly schedule. On Tuesday, it is possible to continue moving downward, with the ultimate goal of 1.1620 (support line). A complex analysis will more accurately determine where the price will go next.

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Fig. 1 (daily chart).

Indicator analysis on the daily schedule (Figure 2).

The system of ADX indicators (Figure 2).

On the last run, the fast line (indicator 5 - white) and the slow line (indicator period 8 - blue) moved down. In this case, the trend should be determined from the indicators of the oscillator type.

Stochastic indicator (period 3/3/4) on the daily chart gives a downward trend (Fig. 2).

The system of RSI indicators (Figure 2).

When working with the daily chart, the following periods are used in the RSI indicator system: 21 (brown), 8 (blue), 13 (yellow), 5 (red).

At the last day's closed candle.

The property calculation of the indicator (5) gives a downward trend.

The property calculation of the indicator (8) gives a downward trend.

The bottom line: the RSI indicator system gives a downward trend.

The property calculation of the CCI indicator gives a downward trend.

The bottom line: the CCI indicator system gives a downward trend.

The result of the indicator analysis: the price will have a downward trend.

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Fig. 2 (daily chart).

Complex analysis:

- indicator analysis - down;

- Fibonacci levels - down;

- volumes - down;

- candle analysis - neutral;

- trend analysis - down;

- Bollinger lines - down;

- Weekly schedule - down.

General conclusion.

On Tuesday, it is possible to continue moving downward with the initial target of 1.1707.

GBP / USD pair

Trend analysis (Figure 1)

On Monday, the market moved up. On Tuesday, there is a possiblity for a pullback. A complex analysis will more accurately determine where the price will go next.

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Fig. 1 (daily chart).

Indicator analysis on the daily schedule (Figure 2).

The system of ADX indicators (Figure 2).

On the last run, the fast line (indicator 5 - white) and the slow line (indicator period 8 - blue) moved up. In this case, the trend should be determined by trend type indicators.

Indicator MACD (period 5/8/13).

The linear part of the MACD indicator.

Fast line (signal) - a line of white color.

The slow line (main line) is the blue line.

The result for the linear part of the MACD indicator is an upward trend.

Histogram of the MACD indicator.

Histogram - columns of black color.

The result of the histogram of the MACD indicator is an upward trend.

Overall: the MACD indicator on the daily chart gives an upward trend.

Middle lines of the EMA.

The daily chart uses the following midlines.

1 middle EMA line - color white (first shadow).

5 the middle line of the EMA - the color is red (the first shadow).

8 middle EMA line - the color is blue (the first shadow and trend).

13 the middle line of the EMA - the color is yellow (trend).

21 middle EMA line - the color is brown (trend).

At the last run 8, the middle EMA line (blue) moved up that is above the 13th EMA midline (yellow) which signals the uptrend.

21, the middle EMA line moving upward is above the 13th EMA midline, weakening the signals in the upper channel.

The bottom line: the EMA middle line system on the daily chart gives an upward trend.

The probability distribution of the indicators is as follows:

the average EMA lines are 24% up;

indicator of the MACD (linear part) - 38% up;

the MACD indicator (histogram) is 38% higher.

The result of the indicator analysis: the price will have an upward trend.

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Fig. 2 (daily chart).

Complex analysis:

- Indicator analysis - up;

- Fibonacci levels - neutral;

- volumes - upwards;

- candle analysis - down;

- trend analysis - down;

- Bollinger lines - up;

- Weekly schedule - up.

General conclusion.

On Tuesday, the GBP / USD pair may move downward towards the level of 1.3096, but only after reaching the resistance line of 1.3267 (red bold line).

Stefan Doll,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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