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Hello, dear colleagues.

For the Euro/Dollar pair, the continuation of the downward cycle of August 13 is expected after the passage of the range of 1.1073 – 1.1062. For the Pound/Dollar pair, we follow the development of the upward cycle of August 12. For the Dollar/Franc pair, the subsequent development of the upward trend from August 13 is expected after the breakdown of 0.9816. For the Dollar/Yen pair, the continuation of the upward movement is expected after the breakdown of 106.91 and the level of 105.64 is the key support. For the Euro/Yen pair, the level of 117.58 is the key resistance for the subsequent development of the downward structure from August 13. For the Pound/Yen pair, the subsequent development of the upward structure from August 12 is expected after the breakdown of 129.66 and the level of 127.94 is the key support.

Forecast for August 16:

Analytical review of the currency pairs in H1 scale:

Exchange Rates 16.08.2019 analysis

For the Euro/Dollar pair, the key levels on the H1 scale are: 1.1124, 1.1102, 1.1073, 1.1062, 1.1032 and 1.1011. We follow the development of the downward structure from August 13. The short-term downward movement is expected in the range of 1.1073 – 1.1062 and the breakdown of the last value will lead to a pronounced movement. The target is 1.1032 and near this level is the price consolidation. Hence, the probability of going into correction is high. The potential value for the downward trend is the level of 1.1032.

The short-term upward movement is possible in the area of 1.1088 – 1.1102 and the breakdown of the last value will lead to a protracted correction. The target is 1.124 and this level is the key support for the downward structure.

The main trend is the downward cycle of August 13.

Trading recommendations:

Buy 1.1088 take profit: 1.100

Buy 1.1105 Take profit: 1.1122

Sell: 1.1060 Take profit: 1.1035

Sell: 1.1030 Take profit: 1.1011

Exchange Rates 16.08.2019 analysis

For the Pound/Dollar pair, the key levels on the H1 scale are: 1.2245, 1.2224, 1.2191, 1.2169, 1.2135, 1.2117 and 1.2081. We follow the development of the upward cycle of August 12. The short-term upward movement is expected in the area of 1.2169 – 1.2191 and the breakdown of the last value should be accompanied by a pronounced upward movement. In this case, the target is 1.2224. We consider the level of 1.2245 as a potential value for the top, upon reaching which, we expect consolidation, as well as a rollback to the bottom.

The short-term downward movement is possible in the area of 1.2135 – 1.2117 and the breakdown of the last value will lead to a protracted correction. The target is 1.2081 and this level is the key support for the downward structure.

The main trend is the downward cycle of July 31.

Trading recommendations:

Buy: 1.2170 Take profit: 1.2190

Buy: 1.2195 Take profit: 1.2224

Sell: 1.2135 Take profit: 1.2118

Sell: 1.2115 Take profit: 1.2081

Exchange Rates 16.08.2019 analysis

For the Dollar/Franc pair, the key levels in the H1 scale are: 0.9949, 0.9923, 0.9883, 0.9854, 0.9816, 0.9768, 0.9745 and 0.9714. We follow the upward structure from August 13. The continuation of the upward movement is expected after the breakdown of 0.9816. In this case, the target is 0.9854 and in the area of 0.9854 – 0.9883 is the short-term upward movement, as well as consolidation. The breakdown of the level of 0.9883 should be accompanied by a pronounced upward movement. The target is 0.9923. The potential value for the top is the level 0.9949, after which we expect consolidation, as well as a rollback to the bottom.

The short-term downward movement is possible in the area of 0.9768 – 0.9745 and the breakdown of the last value will lead to an in-depth correction. The target is 0.9714 and this level is the key support for the top.

The main trend is the upward cycle of August 13.

Trading recommendations:

Buy: 0.9816 Take profit: 0.9854

Buy: 0.9856 Take profit: 0.9881

Sell: 0.9768 Take profit: 0.9747

Sell: 0.9743 Take profit: 0.9715

Exchange Rates 16.08.2019 analysis

For the Dollar/Yen pair, the key levels in the H1 scale are: 108.62, 108.14, 107.45, 106.91, 106.35, 105.94, 105.64 and 105.01. We continue to follow the upward structure from August 12. We expect the continuation of the upward movement after the breakdown of 106.91. In this case, the target is 107.45 and near this level is the consolidation. The breakdown of 107.45 should be accompanied by a pronounced upward movement. The target is 108.14. We consider the level of 108.62 as a potential value for the top, upon reaching which, we expect a rollback to the bottom.

The range of 105.94 – 105.64 is the key support for the top. Its passage of the price will have to develop a downward movement. In this case, the target – 105.01.

The main trend is the building potential for the top of August 12.

Trading recommendations:

Buy: 106.91 Take profit: 107.43

Buy: 107.47 Take profit: 108.14

Sell: Take profit:

Sell: 105.62 Take profit: 105.04

Exchange Rates 16.08.2019 analysis

For the Canadian dollar/Dollar pair, the key levels on the H1 scale are: 1.3445, 1.3422, 1.3385, 1.3361, 1.3329, 1.3288, 1.3265, 1.3240 and 1.3194. We follow the development of the local upward structure from August 9. We expect the continuation of the upward movement after the breakdown of 1.3330. In this case, the target is 1.3361 and in the area of 1.3361 – 1.3385 is the consolidation. The breakdown of the level of 1.3385 will allow us to count on the movement to the potential target – 1.3422, upon reaching this level, we expect consolidation in the area of 1.3422 – 1.3444, as well as a rollback to the bottom.

The short-term downward movement is possible in the area of 1.3288 – 1.3265 and the breakdown of the last value will lead to an in-depth correction. The target is 1.3240 and this level is the key support for the top.

The main trend – local upward structure from August 9.

Trading recommendations:

Buy: 1.3330 Take profit: 1.3360

Buy: 1.3387 Take profit: 1.3422

Sell: 1.3288 Take profit: 1.3266

Sell: 1.3264 Take profit: 1.3240

Exchange Rates 16.08.2019 analysis

For the Australian dollar/Dollar pair, the key levels on the H1 scale are: 0.6967, 0.6922, 0.6902, 0.6869, 0.6843, 0.6803, 0.6762, 0.6733 and 0.6675. We follow the development of the upward structure from August 7. Also, the price has issued a small potential for the top from August 14. The resumption of the upward movement is expected after the breakdown of 0.6803. In this case, the first target is 0.6843 and in the area of 0.6843 – 0.6869 is the short-term upward movement, as well as consolidation. The breakdown of the level of 0.6870 should be accompanied by a pronounced upward movement. The target is 0.6902 and in the area of 0.6902 – 0.6922 is the consolidation. We consider the level of 0.6967 as a potential value for the top, upon reaching which, we expect a rollback to the bottom.

We expect a consolidated movement in the area of 0.6762 – 0.6733 and the breakdown of the level of 0.6733 will lead to the development of a downward structure. In this case, the potential target is 0.6675.

The main trend is the upward structure of August 7, the stage of correction.

Trading recommendations:

Buy: 0.6805 Take profit: 0.6840

Buy: 0.6844 Take profit: 0.6867

Sell: Take profit:

Sell: 0.6730 Take profit: 0.6680

Exchange Rates 16.08.2019 analysis

For the Euro/Yen pair, the key levels on the H1 scale are: 119.40, 118.65, 118.22, 117.58, 117.16 and 116.54. We are following the development of the local capacity for the bottom from August 13. The short-term downward movement is expected in the range of 117.58 – 117.16 and the breakdown of the last value will allow counting on the movement to the potential target – 116.54, near this level is the consolidation.

The short-term upward movement is expected in the area of 118.22 – 118.65 and the breakdown of the last value will have to form an upward structure for the top. The first target is 119.40.

The main trend is the formation of a local downward structure from August 13.

Trading recommendations:

Buy: 118.22 Take profit: 118.62

Buy: 118.70 Take profit: 119.40

Sell: 117.56 Take profit: 117.18

Sell: 117.14 Take profit: 116.55

Exchange Rates 16.08.2019 analysis

For the Pound/Yen pair, the key levels on the H1 scale are: 132.17, 131.23, 130.57, 129.66, 127.94, 127.33, 126.48 and 125.57. We follow the development of the upward structure from August 12. The short-term upward movement is expected in the range of 129.00 – 129.66 and the breakdown of the last value will lead to a pronounced upward movement. The target is 130.57 and in the area of 130.57 – 131.23 is the short-term upward movement, as well as consolidation. We consider the level of 132.17 as a potential value for the top, upon reaching which, we expect consolidation, as well as a rollback to the bottom.

The short-term downward movement is possible in the area of 127.94 – 127.33 and the breakdown of the last value will have to develop a downward structure. The first target is 126.48. We consider the level of 125.57 as a potential value.

The main trend is the formation of the potential for the top of August 12.

Trading recommendations:

Buy: 129.67 Take profit: 130.55

Buy: 130.60 Take profit: 131.20

Sell: 127.30 Take profit: 126.50

Sell: 126.44 Take profit: 125.60

*Analiza tržišta koja se ovde nalazi namenjena je boljem razumevanju tržišta i ne pruža instrukcije za vršenje trgovanja.

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Daichi Takahashi,
Analitickog eksperta
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