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Long-term review

Let's see how the movement of the cross-instruments EUR / JPY and GBP / JPY, as well as the dollar index #USDX and the currency of the "land of the rising sun" USD / JPY will begin from November 14, 2019.

Minuette (H4 timeframe)

____________________

US dollar Index

The movement of the dollar index #USDX from November 14, 2019 will be due to the development and direction of the breakdown range :

  • resistance level of 98.40 on the lower boundary of ISL38.2 of the Minuette operational scale fork;
  • support level of 98.25 on the start line SSL of the Minuette operational scale fork.

During the breakdown of ISL38.2 Minuette (resistance level of 98.40), the movement of the dollar index will continue in the equilibrium zone (98.40 - 98.80 - 99.15) of the Minuette operational scale fork.

On the contrary, the breakdown of support level 98.30 (the initial SSL line of the Minuette operational scale fork) is the option of developing the #USDX movement within 1/2 channels of the Median Minuette operational scale fork (98.25 - 98.00 - 97.75) and Minuette (98.20 - 98.10 - 98.00) with the prospect of reaching the upper boundary of ISL38.2 (97.60) the equilibrium zone of the Minuette operational scale fork

The marking options for the movement #USDX from November 14, 2019 is shown in the animated chart.

Exchange Rates 14.11.2019 analysis

____________________

US dollar vs Japanese yen

The currency of the "country of the rising sun" in the 1/2 Median Line channel of the Minuette operational scale forks, respectively, the further development of the USD / JPY movement from November 14, 2019 will be due to the development and direction of the breakdown of border levels (109.10 - 108.90 108.75) of this channel. We look at the details on the animated chart.

In case of breakdown of the upper boundary of the 1/2 Median Line of the Minuette channel (resistance level of 109.10) of the Minuette operational scale fork, the upward movement of USD / JPY will develop to the goals: maximums (109.29 - 109.50) - control lines - UTL Minuette (109.55) - UTL Minuette (109.65) with the prospect of reaching the warning line UWL61.8 (110.00) of the Minuette operational scale fork.

Combined breakdown of support levels :

- 108.75 on the lower boundary of the 1/2 Median Line channel of the Minuette;

- 108.70 on the upper boundary of the 1/2 Median Line channel of the Minuette;

will determine the development of the currency movement of the "land of the rising sun" within the 1/2 Median Line channel (108.70 - 108.40 - 108.15) of the Minuette operational scale fork with the prospect of updating the local minimum107.90.

The details of the USD/JPY movement, depending on the breakdown direction of the above 1/2 Median Line Minuette channel, are shown on the animated chart.

Exchange Rates 14.11.2019 analysis

____________________

Euro vs Japanese yen

The development of the cross-instrument movement EUR / JPY from October 14, 2019 will continue in accordance with the development and direction of the breakdown of the range :

  • resistance level of 120.10 at the lower boundary of the 1/2 Median Line channel of the Minuette operational scale fork;
  • support level of 119.80 on the ultimate Schiff Line Minuette.

The breakdown of the final Schiff Line Minuette (support level of 119.80) will direct the EUR / JPY movement to the starting SSL line Minuette (119.10) with the prospect of reaching the boundaries of the equilibrium zones of the Minuette operational scale fork (119.00 - 118.40 - 117.80) and Minuette (118.20 - 117.95 - 117.70) .

On the contrary, in case of breakdown of the resistance level of 120.10, the development of the movement of this cross-instrument can be continued in the 1/2 Median Line Minuette channel (120.10 - 120.60 - 121.05) taking into account the working out of the 1/2 median line channel of the Minuette (120.25 - 120.37 - 120.50).

The details of the EUR / JPY movement, depending on the development of the above range, are presented on the animated chart.

Exchange Rates 14.11.2019 analysis

____________________

Great Britain pound vs Japanese yen

The movement of the GBP / JPY cross-instrument from November 14, 2019 will be determined by the development and direction of the breakdown of the boundary levels of the 1/2 Median Line channel (140.05 - 139.85 - 139.65) of the Minuette operational scale fork. Look at the animate chart for details.

In case of breakdown of the upper boundary of the 1/2 Median Line Minuette channel (resistance level of 140.05) of the Minuette operational scale fork, the upward movement of GBP / JPY will develop towards the goals: UTL Minuette control line (140.71) - local maximum 141.47.

The breakdown of the support level of 106.55 at the lower boundary of the 1/2 Median Line Minuette channel will determine the development of the downward movement of this cross-instrument to the final Schiff Line Minuette (139.00), during the breakdown of which it will be possible to reach the GBP / JPY boundaries of the equilibrium zones (138.50 - 138.10 - 137.75) of the Minuette operational scale fork.

The details of the GBP / JPY movement, depending on the breakdown direction of the 1/ 2 Median Line Minuette channel mentioned above, are shown on the animated chart.

Exchange Rates 14.11.2019 analysis

____________________

The review is made without taking into account the news background. Thus, the opening of trading sessions of the main financial centers does not serve as a guide to action (placing orders "sell" or "buy").

The formula for calculating the dollar index:

USDX = 50.14348112 * USDEUR0.576 * USDJPY0.136 * USDGBP0.119 * USDCAD0.091 * USDSEK0.042 * USDCHF0.036.

where the power coefficients correspond to the weights of the currencies in the basket:

Euro - 57.6%;

Yen - 13.6% ;

Pound Sterling - 11.9%;

Canadian dollar - 9.1%;

Swedish Krona - 4.2%;

Swiss franc - 3.6%.

The first coefficient in the formula leads the index to 100 at the start date of the countdown - March 1973, when the main currencies began to be freely quoted relative to each other.

*Analiza tržišta koja se ovde nalazi namenjena je boljem razumevanju tržišta i ne pruža instrukcije za vršenje trgovanja.

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