empty
 
 
12.01.2018 03:06 PM
Global macro overview for 12/01/2018

The report from the December meeting of the ECB suggests that the pressure of the hawkish wing on abandoning the expansive attitude is strong. Although in October President Draghi pledged that the asset purchase program would last at least until the end of September 2018, and maybe even longer, then "even longer" does not please everyone in the Governing Council. A robust recovery in the Eurozone and record-breaking PMI indices led to the ECB allowing a change in forwarding guidance earlier this year, which would mean a definitive closure of asset purchases in the third quarter. Earlier interest rate hikes are out of the question (the ECB will keep sequencing), but setting the exact deadline for QE completion allows an aggressive valuation of the moment of the first hike (beginning 2019?). The market was excited about the ECB Meeting Minutes, because it confirmed in them that what the EUR rally was based on at the turn of the year. It is doubtful that we would receive a confirmation message from ECB at the January meeting suggesting the end of QE in September, but the next meeting in March may be interesting. On the other hand, the protocol showed a completely different picture of the discussion at the meeting than President Draghi presented at the conference. It seems that two strong camps are clashing in the Governing Council and Draghi is one of those whose comments will not be on the way to buying EUR. It is worth remembering at the next press conference, which the president can use to release doves of surprise.

Let's now take a look at EUR/GBP technical picture at the H4 time frame. The market is still is trying to break out above the 78% Fibo at the level of 0.8919 and this is its third attempt. Strong momentum and a positive stochastic support the upward view. The nearest technical support is seen at the level of 0.8890 and 0.8869.

This image is no longer relevant

Gana con los cambios en el valor de las criptomonedas con InstaForex.
Descarga MetaTrader 4 y abre tu primera operación.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • Depósito al azar
    ¡Haga un depósito en su cuenta de $3,000 y obtenga $1000 más!
    ¡En Abril, sorteamos $1000 dentro de la campaña Depósito afortunado!
    Obtenga la oportunidad de ganar depositando $3,000 en una cuenta de operaciones. Tras haber cumplido esta condición, se convertirá en un participante de la campaña.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • Opere de forma inteligente, gane un dispositivo
    Recargue su cuenta con al menos $500, regístrese en el concurso y tenga la oportunidad de ganar dispositivos móviles.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • 100% de bonificación
    Su oportunidad única de obtener un bono del 100 % en su depósito
    OBTENER BONO
  • 55% de bonificación
    Solicite un bono del 55% en cada depósito
    OBTENER BONO
  • 30% de bonificación
    Reciba un bono del 30% cada vez que recargue su cuenta
    OBTENER BONO

Recommended Stories

¿No puede hablar ahora mismo?
Ingrese su pregunta en el chat.
Widget callback