empty
 
 
23.01.2019 04:28 PM
Euro can cover economic winter

This image is no longer relevant

Many predicted the euro growth for the foreseeable future last year, relying on the rise in German government bonds yields, a pause in the Fed's monetary tightening cycle and a possible increase in interest rates from the ECB.

However, data published in January showed that production orders and industrial production in the largest country in the region declined, and the yield on government bonds was stuck near two-year lows.

The ECB promised to keep the rate unchanged at least until the end of the summer of 2019, but the money market does not expect an increase in the cost of lending before the second quarter of 2020.

Societe Generale experts believe that the region's grim economic prospects will put pressure on the euro.

"If the American economy did not slow down, the single European currency could have already been trading near the $ 1.10 mark. We are leaning towards short positions in the euro versus the pound, the yen, and the Australian dollar," they noted.

"The slowdown in the eurozone's GDP growth rate suggests a drop in the business activity indicator in the industrial sector to 48 points in the next four to five months," said Citigroup experts.

"If this recession is accompanied by a decrease in inflation to the levels of 2016, then investors will again have to face zero or lower returns," they added.

Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs analysts believe that the euro can benefit from the fact that the US economy slows down faster than the European one.

"Despite the fact that in both economies there are signs of a slowdown, the euro has room for growth as the negative dynamics develop in the USA. The weakness of the statistics in the eurozone is caused by temporary factors. We expect that in three months the EUR / USD pair will rise to the level of 1.17," they said.

Viktor Isakov,
Experto analítico de InstaForex
© 2007-2024
Gana con los cambios en el valor de las criptomonedas con InstaForex.
Descarga MetaTrader 4 y abre tu primera operación.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • Depósito al azar
    ¡Haga un depósito en su cuenta de $3,000 y obtenga $1000 más!
    ¡En Abril, sorteamos $1000 dentro de la campaña Depósito afortunado!
    Obtenga la oportunidad de ganar depositando $3,000 en una cuenta de operaciones. Tras haber cumplido esta condición, se convertirá en un participante de la campaña.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • Opere de forma inteligente, gane un dispositivo
    Recargue su cuenta con al menos $500, regístrese en el concurso y tenga la oportunidad de ganar dispositivos móviles.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • 100% de bonificación
    Su oportunidad única de obtener un bono del 100 % en su depósito
    OBTENER BONO
  • 55% de bonificación
    Solicite un bono del 55% en cada depósito
    OBTENER BONO
  • 30% de bonificación
    Reciba un bono del 30% cada vez que recargue su cuenta
    OBTENER BONO

Recommended Stories

¿No puede hablar ahora mismo?
Ingrese su pregunta en el chat.
Widget callback