empty
 
 
26.04.2019 01:50 AM
Mario Draghi's departure from the ECB will cause the euro rally - UBS

This image is no longer relevant

UBS Global Wealth Management experts believe that whoever replaces Mario Draghi as the ECB president will cause a rise in the euro. Moreover, if some candidates are appointed to this position, a rally of the single European currency may follow.

"Any replacement of the current chairman of the ECB, whose eight-year term of office expires in October, is likely to be regarded as hawkish," analysts say.

"Under M. Draghi, the regulator lowered interest rates to negative values, launched an inconsistent quantitative easing program to fight deflation, and kept the promise to do "everything that is needed" to save the euro," they added.

Since M. Draghi took office in November 2011, the single European currency has lost about 18% in weight.

"Anyone who replaces M. Draghi will probably find it difficult at first to convince the market that it is as strong and devoted as its predecessor. We think that market participants, in case of doubt, would prefer to buy rather than sell the euro, "said UBS representatives.

Whoever becomes the successor to the current head of the ECB, his candidacy will be determined depending on how the leading posts in the EU are distributed after the elections to the European Parliament, which will be held in late May.

UBS believes that the representatives of Germany and France - Jens Weidmann and Francois Villeroy de Galhau - have a good chance of being appointed as the ECB president. Possible candidates also include Finnish representatives Erkki Liikanen and Olli Rehn.

"The growth of the euro is likely to be more sustainable if J. Weidmann or O. Rehn is chosen, since they are more conservative than other candidates who can cause a rally of the single European currency only at the initial stage. Although the ECB decision making is usually based on consensus, the personality and character of the president matter, and we should not underestimate the influence that M. Draghi had on the euro during his term of office," the experts said.

Viktor Isakov,
Experto analítico de InstaForex
© 2007-2024
Gana con los cambios en el valor de las criptomonedas con InstaForex.
Descarga MetaTrader 4 y abre tu primera operación.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • Depósito al azar
    ¡Haga un depósito en su cuenta de $3,000 y obtenga $1000 más!
    ¡En Abril, sorteamos $1000 dentro de la campaña Depósito afortunado!
    Obtenga la oportunidad de ganar depositando $3,000 en una cuenta de operaciones. Tras haber cumplido esta condición, se convertirá en un participante de la campaña.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • Opere de forma inteligente, gane un dispositivo
    Recargue su cuenta con al menos $500, regístrese en el concurso y tenga la oportunidad de ganar dispositivos móviles.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • 100% de bonificación
    Su oportunidad única de obtener un bono del 100 % en su depósito
    OBTENER BONO
  • 55% de bonificación
    Solicite un bono del 55% en cada depósito
    OBTENER BONO
  • 30% de bonificación
    Reciba un bono del 30% cada vez que recargue su cuenta
    OBTENER BONO

Recommended Stories

¿No puede hablar ahora mismo?
Ingrese su pregunta en el chat.
Widget callback