empty
 
 
29.08.2022 08:55 AM
JPY is not a tenant. Powell and Kuroda signed the yen's death sentence

This image is no longer relevant

The Japanese currency is flying down at the start of the new week. The reason for the next peak of the JPY is still the same – the divergence in the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan, which intensified after Jackson Hole.

The main event of last week was the annual Fed symposium in Jackson Hole, and its climax was the speech of the chairman of the US central bank.

As expected, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell stressed his firm intention to fight inflation by further raising interest rates.

– The restoration of price stability will take some time and will require the "decisive" use of the central bank's tools, – the official said during his speech at the forum.

The market interpreted this comment as hawkish, which provoked a sharp jump in the yield of US government bonds and, as a result, a large-scale rally of the dollar.

The DXY index updated its 20-year high on Monday morning, jumping to the level of 109.4.

The Japanese currency suffered the most from the strong greenback. In just a couple of hours, the Japanese fell by almost 0.6% and reached a 5-week low of 138.60.

This image is no longer relevant

The current weakness of the JPY is also dictated by the dovish tone of the head of the BOJ. Like his American counterpart, BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda did not present any surprise at the Jackson Hole symposium.

Earlier, Kuroda repeatedly stated that the normalization of monetary policy could cause serious damage to the Japanese economy, which has not yet recovered after the COVID-19 pandemic.

Last Saturday, Kuroda again made it clear that he remains faithful to the ultra-soft course and will continue to adhere to it until "wages and prices will not grow in a stable and sustainable manner."

According to experts, this comment by the head of the BOJ was the last nail in the coffin of the Japanese currency.

In the near future, the yen will not only continue to fall, but also, most likely, will reach another record low against the dollar.

At the time of release, the USD/JPY pair rose above the 139 level and was aimed at the psychologically important 140 mark.

Most currency strategists believe that in the short term, the asset will be able to cross the key barrier that proved impregnable last month.

The probability of such a scenario developing is now very high. In the light of recent speeches by Powell. The markets expect that the wide difference in interest rates between Japan and the United States will remain longer than predicted.

This significantly strengthens the bulls' positions on the USD/JPY pair. According to experts, the upward trend of the asset will continue until at least one of the central banks signals a change in its current monetary rate.

We also draw your attention to the fact that this week the US dollar may receive another strong growth momentum. On Friday, traders expect the release of the US employment report for August.

We also draw your attention to the fact that this week the US dollar may receive another strong growth momentum. On Friday, traders expect the release of the US employment report for August.

If the data from the labor market turns out to be strong, it will push the greenback to new heights and send the yen even deeper to the bottom.

Аlena Ivannitskaya,
Chuyên gia phân tích của InstaForex
© 2007-2024
Kiếm lợi nhuận từ những biến đổi giá của tiền điện tử với InstaForex.
Tải MetaTrader 4 và mở giao dịch đầu tiên của bạn.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    THAM GIA CUỘC THI
  • Tiền gửi lần truy cập
    Ký quỹ tài khoản của bạn với $3000 và nhận được $1000 nhiều hơn!
    Trong Tháng 4 chúng tôi xổ $1000 trong chiến dịch Chancy Deposit!
    Có được một cơ hội giành chiến thắng bằng việc ký quỹ $3000 vào một tài khoản giao dịch. Đáp ứng được điều kiện này, bạn trở thành một người tham gia chiến dịch.
    THAM GIA CUỘC THI
  • Giao dịch khôn ngoan, thành công
    Nạp tiền vào tài khoản của bạn với ít nhất $ 500, đăng ký cuộc thi và có cơ hội giành được các thiết bị di động.
    THAM GIA CUỘC THI
  • 100% tiền thưởng
    Cơ hội duy nhất của bạn để nhận 100% tiền thưởng khi gửi tiền
    NHẬN THƯỞNG
  • 55% Tiền thưởng
    Đăng ký tiền thưởng 55% cho mỗi lần gửi tiền của bạn
    NHẬN THƯỞNG
  • 30% tiền thưởng
    Nhận 30% tiền thưởng mỗi khi bạn nạp tiền vào tài khoản của mình
    NHẬN THƯỞNG

Các bài báo được đề xuất

Không thể nói chuyện ngay bây giờ?
Đặt câu hỏi của bạn trong phần trò chuyện.
Widget callback