Forex Analysis & Reviews: US Premarket on October 7: US stock markets froze in anticipation of reports
time 07.10.2022 01:07 PM
time Relevance up to, 08.10.2022 01:07 PM

Futures on US stock indices are trading near the opening level of the day after yesterday's sharp decline due to fears that the US labor market once again painlessly survived September, keeping the economy in excellent shape. Investors are also waiting for the latest payroll report, which will provide clues about the trajectory of monetary policy in the near future, as many Federal Reserve officials continue to deny stopping rate hikes next year.

This image is no longer relevant

Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.3%, offsetting deeper losses amid a pre-sale decline in semiconductor stocks. Futures for the S&P 500 index are trading near zero, as is the industrial Dow Jones.

US bond yields are nearing a 10-week high - the longest streak of gains since 1984, as the Fed insists on a further decisive fight against inflation despite recent data indicating a cooling economy. As noted above, against this background, investors are vacillating between hopes for an end to monetary policy tightening by March next year and fears of a deep recession, which such a reversal will emphasize.

Caution remains ahead of the US employment report. Given the repeated hawkish comments of Fed policymakers, today's data may be enough to sustain further aggressive policy support.

The main Stoxx 600 index in Europe was almost unchanged after a two-day decline.

Investors are also starting to pay attention to the first reports of companies for the 3rd quarter of this year. In addition to the disappointing report from the European oil company Shell, bad data from AMD, and South Korean Samsung Electronics Co., fears about the onset of a recession in the global economy are increasing.

As noted above, the US employment report will put everything in its place: according to forecasts, employers added another 255,000 jobs in September. It is also expected that the unemployment rate will remain at around 3.7%, slightly above a fifty-year low.

As for the hawkish comments of the Fed representatives yesterday, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans said that the key rate is likely to be at 4.5-4.75% by next spring. Moreover, Neel Kashkari of the Minneapolis Fed said that the central bank is still very far from suspending its campaign to raise rates.

US crude futures rose to $89 per barrel, the biggest weekly jump since March this year.

This image is no longer relevant

As for the technical picture of the S&P500, after yesterday's decline, the market took a pause. Trading below $3,773 creates some difficulties for a further bullish rally. The bulls will expect a second spurt to $3,773 after strong data on the US economy, leaving hope for a further upward correction. The breakdown of $3,773 will support a new upward momentum, already aimed at the resistance of $3,801. The furthest target will be in the area of $3,835. In the case of a downward movement, the bulls will declare themselves in the area of $7,735. But a breakdown of this range will quickly push the trading instrument to $3,706 and $3,677 and open up the possibility of updating support at $3,648. Below this range, you can bet on a larger sell-off of the index to a minimum of $3,608, where the pressure may ease a little.

Jakub Novak,
Chuyên gia phân tích của InstaForex
© 2007-2022
Benefit from analysts’ recommendations right now
Top up trading account
Open trading account

InstaForex analytical reviews will make you fully aware of market trends! Being an InstaForex client, you are provided with a large number of free services for efficient trading.

  • Giao dịch khôn ngoan, thành công
    Nạp tiền vào tài khoản của bạn với ít nhất $ 500, đăng ký cuộc thi và có cơ hội giành được các thiết bị di động.
  • Ferrari từ InstaForex
    Nạp tiền vào tài khoản của bạn với ít nhất 1.000
    tham gia cuộc thi và giành chiến thắng Ferrari
    F8 Tributo
  • Tiền gửi lần truy cập
    Gửi vào tài khoản của bạn 3.000 đô la và giành được 1.000 đô la
  • 100% tiền thưởng
    Cơ hội duy nhất của bạn để nhận 100% tiền thưởng khi gửi tiền
  • 55% Tiền thưởng
    Đăng ký tiền thưởng 55% cho mỗi lần gửi tiền của bạn
  • 30% tiền thưởng
    Nhận 30% tiền thưởng mỗi khi bạn nạp tiền vào tài khoản của mình

Recommended Stories

Ethereum confirms its breakout

ETH/USD retreated a little in the short term after its strong rally. The retreat was natural and now it has developed a bullish pattern. It was trading at 1,185

Ralph Shedler 18:48 2022-11-25 UTC+2

USD/CHF in range pattern, 0.9393 as downside obstacle

The currency pair is moving sideways in the short term. It was trading at 0.9457 at the time of writing. It's trapped between 0.9383 (downside obstacle) and 0.9599 (upside obstacle)

Ralph Shedler 18:47 2022-11-25 UTC+2

Bitcoin continues to trade sideways in a new trading range.

After the FTX scandal and the sell off towards $15,500, Bitcoin has found some balance and is mostly moving sideways. The bulls are absent and there is not enough strength

Alexandros Yfantis 17:57 2022-11-25 UTC+2

Weekly analysis on the Dollar index.

This week have seen intraweek lower lows and the Dollar index is closing at new weekly lows. The entire rise from 89-90 is complete and we are now clearly

Alexandros Yfantis 17:52 2022-11-25 UTC+2

Ichimoku cloud indicator analysis on EURUSD for November 25th, 2022.

EURUSD is trading around 1.0397. Price remains above the Kumo (cloud). As we mentioned in our previous analysis, EURUSD is expected to pull back towards cloud support after the break

Alexandros Yfantis 17:47 2022-11-25 UTC+2

GBP/USD analysis for November 25, 2022

The wave markup for the pound/dollar instrument currently appears quite complex, but it still needs to call for clarification. We have a completed downward trend section consisting of five waves

Chin Zhao 17:41 2022-11-25 UTC+2

Short-term technical analysis on Gold for November 25th, 2022.

Gold price is trading around $1,750 after reaching as high as $1,760 resistance earlier today. Price has formed a lower high after bouncing off $1,727. There are increased chances that

Alexandros Yfantis 17:41 2022-11-25 UTC+2

November 25, 2022 : EUR/USD daily technical review and trading opportunities.

Now the market remains under buying pressure until significant downside rejection occurs around one of the key- levels probably around 1.0600. In the mean time, any downside movement towards 1.0000

Mohamed Samy 17:35 2022-11-25 UTC+2

November 25, 2022 : EUR/USD Intraday technical analysis and trading plan.

Another bearish pullback to test the price levels of 0.9500 was recently executed. Intensive bullish price action was demonstrated around the lower limit of the current movement channel. Initial bullish

Mohamed Samy 17:34 2022-11-25 UTC+2

November 25, 2022 : GBP/USD Intraday technical analysis and significant key-levels.

Based on the upcoming price action and the next weekly candlestick closure, the next target level for the GBP/USD pair can be determined. Further bullish continuation above 1.1765 was expected

Mohamed Samy 17:33 2022-11-25 UTC+2
Không thể nói chuyện ngay bây giờ?
Đặt câu hỏi của bạn trong phần trò chuyện.