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31.01.2018 08:35 AM
Indicator analysis. Daily review for the currency pairs EUR / USD and GBP / USD as of January 31, 2018

On Wednesday, the following strong calendar news comes out:

- 08.55 London time. EUR, change in the number of unemployed in Germany (Jan.), waiting for -20K, the previous value was -29K;

- 10.00 London time. EUR, consumer price index (CPI) (y / y) (Jan.), are waiting for 1.3%, the previous value was -1.4%;

- 13.15 London time. USD, the change in the number of non-farm workers from ADP (Jan.), are waiting for 191K, the previous value was 250K;

- 15.00 London time. USD, the index of unfinished sales in the real estate market (m / m) (Dec.), Waiting for 0.5%, the previous value was 0.2%;

- 15.30 London time. USD, crude oil reserves, are waiting for 0.100M, the previous value was -1.071M;

- 19.00 London time. USD, FOMC statement;

- 19.00 London time. USD, the decision on the interest rate of the Fed, waiting for 1.5%, the previous value was 1.5%.

EUR / USD pair

Trend analysis (Figure 1)

On Tuesday, the price in the side channel once again failed to overcome the upper target of 161.8% (red dotted line). Wednesday is a news day, and much will depend on the strong news. The complex analysis will more accurately tell where the price will go.

This image is no longer relevant

Fig. 1 (daily chart).

Indicator analysis on the daily schedule (Figure 2).

The system of indicators ADX (Figure 2).

On the last run, the fast line (indicator 5 - white) and the slow line (indicator period 8 - blue) moved down. In this case, the trend should be determined from the indicators of the oscillator type.

The stochastic indicator (period 3/3/4) on the daily chart gives a downward trend (Fig. 2).

The system of indicators RSI (Figure 2).

When working with the daily chart, the following periods are used in the RSI indicator system: 21 (brown), 8 (blue), 13 (yellow), 5 (red).

Closed candle on the last day.

The calculation of the indicator RSI (5) on the properties gives down.

The calculation of the indicator RSI (8) by properties yields down.

The bottom line: The RSI indicator system gives a downward trend.

The calculation of the indicator CCI on the properties gives down.

The bottom line: The CCI indicator system gives a downward trend.

The result of the indicator analysis: The price will have a downward trend.

This image is no longer relevant

Fig. 2 (daily chart).

Complex analysis:

- Indicator analysis - down;

- Fibonacci levels - down;

- Volumes - down;

- Candle analysis - neutral;

- Trend analysis - up;

- Bollinger lines - down;

- Weekly schedule - down.

General conclusion.

On Wednesday, most likely, the market will move down, with the first target of 23.6% - 1.2306 (yellow dotted line), but much will depend on the news.

Pair GBP / USD

Trend analysis (Figure 1).

On Tuesday, the price moved upwards, breaking off the support line. On Wednesday, the market may continue to move up, but much will depend on the strong news. The complex analysis will more accurately tell where the price will go.

This image is no longer relevant

Fig. 1 (daily chart).

Indicator analysis on the daily schedule (Figure 2).

The system of indicators ADX (Figure 2).

On the last run, the fast line (indicator 5 - white) and the slow line (indicator period 8 - blue) moved down. In this case, the trend should be determined from the indicators of the oscillator type.

The stochastic indicator (period 3/3/4) on the daily chart gives an upward trend (Fig. 2).

The system of indicators RSI (Figure 2).

When working with the daily chart, the following periods are used in the RSI indicator system: 21 (brown), 8 (blue), 13 (yellow), 5 (red).

Closed candle on the last day.

The calculation of the indicator RSI (5) on the properties gives down.

The calculation of the indicator RSI (8) by properties yields down.

The bottom line: The RSI indicator system gives a downward trend.

The calculation of the indicator CCI on the properties gives up.

The bottom line: The CCI indicator system gives an upward trend.

The result of the indicator analysis: The price will have an upward trend.

This image is no longer relevant

Fig. 2 (daily chart).

Complex analysis:

- Indicator analysis - up;

- Fibonacci levels - up;

- Volumes - down;

- Candle analysis - neutral;

- Trend analysis - up;

- Bollinger lines - up;

- Weekly schedule - down.

General conclusion:

On Wednesday, the pair GBP / USD may be moving upwards with the first target of 1.4344, but much will depend on the news.

Stefan Doll,
Especialista em análise na InstaForex
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