empty
 
 
22.10.2012 11:27 AM
USD/JPY: Technical Analysis

This image is no longer relevant

Overview:
USD/JPY continues to range trade. Japan September provisional trade statistics should be in the spotlight. USD/JPY is undermined by selling of yen crosses amid increased risk aversion (VIX fear gauge rose 13.51% to 17.06, S&P fell 1.66% on Friday) on weaker-than-expected 3Q earnings reports from U.S. blue-chip companies; 1.7% drop in U.S. September existing home sales; and disappointment after European Union heads of state concluded their two-day Brussels summit on Friday without clarity on when Spain will formally request a bailout or whether Greece will receive the next tranche of its bailout loan. USD/JPY is also weighed by lower U.S. Treasury yields; Japan exporter sales; and concerns about U.S. "fiscal cliff" that could throw the U.S. economy back into recession. But USD/JPY downside is limited by weaker JPY sentiment on expectations that the Bank of Japan will ease monetary policy later this month and demand from Japan importers.
Preference:
The pair is breaking bullish channel, long positions are preferable. Buy above 79.1 with first targets 79.7 and if the rate goes further upside, the next target is 79.9.
Resistance Levels:
R1 - 79.66 (Aug. 20 reaction high)
R2 - 79.97-80.00 (July 12 high-psychological level) 
R3 - 80.09 (July 5 high) 
Alternative scenario:
In case price goes below 79.1. Sell below 79.1. Look at further downside movement with 78.95 and 78.8 as targets.
Support Levels:
S1 - 78.91 (Thursday's low)
S2 - 78.8*** intraday support
S3 - 78.61 (Wednesday's low)   
Comment:
The pair is breaking above its resistance and remains within a bullish channel. USD/JPY daily chart is mixed as MACD is bullish; five-day moving average is above 15-day MA and rising; but stochastics has turned bearish as the pair is overbought; and inside-day-range pattern completed on Friday.  

 

InstaForex Analyst,
Especialista em análise na InstaForex
© 2007-2026
Summary
Urgency
Analytic
InstaForex Analyst
Start trade
Ganhe com as variações das taxas das criptomoedas com a InstaForex.
Baixe o MetaTrader 4 e abra a sua primeira operação.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    PARTICIPE DO CONCURSO
  • Chancy Deposit
    Deposite US $ 3.000 em sua conta e receba $10000 mais!
    Em Janeiro nós sorteamos $10000 na campanha Chancy Deposit!
    Tenha a chance de ganhar, depositando $3,000 em sua conta de negociação. Após cumprir essa condição, você se torna um participante da campanha.
    PARTICIPE DO CONCURSO
  • Trade Wise, Win Device
    Abasteça a sua conta com pelo menos $500, inscreva-se no concurso e tenha a chance de ganhar dispositivos móveis.
    PARTICIPE DO CONCURSO
  • Bônus de 30%
    Receba um bônus de 30% toda vez que você fizer um depósito em sua conta
    RECEBA O BÔNUS

Recommended Stories

Não pode falar agora?
Faça sua pergunta no chat.
Widget callback