20.02.2019 10:02 AM
GBP / USD. February 20th. The trading system. "Regression Channels". New legal conditions can lead Brexit deadlock

4-hour timeframe

This image is no longer relevant

Technical details:

The senior linear regression channel: direction - up

The junior linear regression channel: direction - down.

Moving average (20; smoothed) - sideways.

CCI: 162.1134

The currency pair GBP / USD on Wednesday, February 20, amid the information that the European Union is not at all opposed to postponing the UK exit date from the EU, has shown significant strengthening. We have already seen a similar picture more than once in the past year when the pound sterling enjoyed consolidating on various kinds of rumors, unverified information and market expectations about the positive outcome of Brexit. It seems that in 2019, the pound will also seek support in precisely such factors. It also appeared that the Attorney General of England and Wales, Geoffrey Cox, has developed new legal proposals on the conditions of the Brexit, which must satisfy both parties. Probably, this information also supported the pound. Although in fact, it does not guarantee that the procedure for discussing the terms of Brexit will really break the deadlock. Nevertheless, this information is like a breath of fresh air for investors. However, we still believe that there are no compelling fundamental reasons for the growth of the pound and in general, there are no reasons for joy. Firstly, it is not known what kind of conditions will be offered to the British Parliament and the EU, which has refused to conduct new negotiations. Secondly, today there will be a meeting between Theresa May and Jean Claude Juncker, following which there will definitely be new information on Brexit. In general, we continue to monitor the situation.

Nearest support levels:

S1 - 1.3031

S2 - 1.3000

S3 - 1.2970

Nearest resistance levels:

R1 - 1.3062

R2 - 1.3092

R3 - 1.3123

Trading recommendations:

The pair GBP / USD continues its upward movement. Thus, it is recommended to trade for a raise with targets at 1.3092 and 1.3123 until the Heikin Ashi indicator turns down.

Short positions will again become relevant after the price is fixed back below the moving average line. The targets, in this case, will be the levels of 1.2848 and 1.2817.

In addition to the technical picture should also take into account the fundamental data and the time of their release.

Explanations for illustrations:

The senior linear regression channel is the blue lines of the unidirectional movement.

The junior linear channel is the purple lines of the unidirectional movement.

CCI is the blue line in the indicator regression window.

The moving average (20; smoothed) is the blue line on the price chart.

Murray levels - multi-colored horizontal stripes.

Heikin Ashi is an indicator that colors bars in blue or purple.

Paolo Greco,
Especialista em análise na InstaForex
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