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18.04.2019 01:09 PM
Analysis of GBP/USD divergences for April 18th. New bearish divergence is pushing pound down

4h

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As seen on the 4-hour chart, the GBP/USD pair completed closing below the Fibo level of 76.4% (1.3098) and continues the process of falling towards retracement level of 61.8% (1.2969). There is no visible indicator of divergence today. Thus, only quoting quotes from the Fibo level of 61.8% can be regarded as a reversal in favor of the British pound, and traders can expect a resumption of growth in the direction of the retracement level of 76.4%.

The Fibo grid is built on extremums from September 20, 2018, and January 3, 2019.

1h

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As seen on the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair closed below the Fibo level of 23.6% (1.3045) and returned to it, however, on April 18, the bearish divergence of the CCI indicator is brewing, which allows us to expect a reversal in favor of the American currency and the resumption of the fall in retracement of 0.0% (1.2976). On the other hand, the closure of the pair above the level of 23.6% allows us to expect some growth. As a result, confirmation of the beginning of the fall can be considered closing of quotations below the Fibo level of 23.6%.

The Fib grid is built on extremes from March 27, 2019, and March 29, 2019.

Forecast for GBP / USD and trading recommendations:

Buy deals on GBP/USD pair can be opened with the target at 1.3088 and the stop loss order under retracement level of 23.6% if the current emerging bearish divergence is canceled (hourly chart).

Sell deals on GBP/USD pair can be opened with a target at 1.2976 and a stop loss order above 23.6% if the pair closes below 1.3045 to form a bearish divergence (hourly chart).

Samir Klishi,
Especialista em análise na InstaForex
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