Analysis of transactions in the GBP / USD pair
A signal to buy appeared in the market yesterday, and it coincided with the MACD line being at the oversold area. This limited the downward potential of GBP / USD and provoked a rise in the pair.
The entire focus of markets yesterday was the statements of the Federal Reserve. Powell told reporters that bond purchases may be reduced after the Fed meeting in November, but he also left the door open for a longer period of buying bonds if necessary. This highlighted the uncertainty brought by the spread of the Delta strain.
Today, there will be reports on UK PMI for the manufacturing and services sectors, which, if turns out better than expected, could lead to a rise in GBP / USD. But in the afternoon, the US will release data on the economy and jobless claims, where strong figures will most likely bring demand for dollar back.
For long positions:
Open a long position when pound reaches 1.3659 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the level of 1.3711 (thicker green line on the chart). The pair will climb higher if there are strong economic data from UK. But before buying, make sure that the MACD line is above zero, or is starting to rise from it.
It is also possible to buy at 1.3624, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area, as only by that will the market reverse to 1.3659 and 1.3711.
For short positions:
Open a short position when pound reaches 1.3624 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the level of 1.3573. The pair should remain in a bear market since the decision of the Fed is likely to support dollar. Weak data from UK will also worsen the situation. But before selling, make sure that the MACD line is below zero, or is starting to move down from it.
The pair could also be sold at 1.3569, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.3624 and 1.3573.
What's on the chart:
The thin green line is the key level at which you can place long positions in the GBP/USD pair.
The thick green line is the target price, since the quote is unlikely to move above this level.
The thin red line is the level at which you can place short positions in the GBP/USD pair.
The thick red line is the target price, since the quote is unlikely to move below this level.
MACD line - when entering the market, it is important to be guided by the overbought and oversold zones.
Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.
And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.
*A análise de mercado aqui postada destina-se a aumentar o seu conhecimento, mas não dar instruções para fazer uma negociação.
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