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30.03.2023 01:28 PM
Technical analysis of BTC/USD for March 30, 2023

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Trading BTC/USD :

Bitcoin The bullish trend is currently very strong for BITCOIN - BTC/USD. As long as the price remains above the support at 28k USD, you could try to take advantage of the bullish rally in short term. The first bullish objective is located at 28,626 USD (this price is coincided with the ratio 78% of Fibonacci retracement levels).

The bullish momentum would be revived by a break in this resistance. Closing above the pivot point (28k USD) could assure that BTC/USD will move higher towards cooling new highs. The bulls must break through 29k USD in order to resume the up trend. Buyers would then use the next resistance located at 29,184 USD as an objective (this price is coincided with the ratio 100% of Fibonacci retracement levels - the double top - te last bullish wave on the hourly chart).

Crossing it would then enable buyers to target 29k USD. Be careful, given the powerful bullish rally underway, excesses could lead to a short-term rebound. Bitcoin's price has been consolidating between the 28k USD and 30k USD over the last few weeks, following a massive rising from the 28k USD mark.

So far, the price has been supported by the 28k USD - 27k USD range. If this is the case, remember that trading against the trend may be riskier. It would seem more appropriate to wait for a signal indicating reversal of the trend.

However, considering the current price action and the third rejection from this area, a run to the 29k USD support level and the 50-day moving average seems more likely. A bullish breakout from these levels would initiate a rally towards the 29k USD - 30k USD supply zone – a key level to which the price's reaction would determine the mid-term trend of the market.

In the very short term, the general bearish sentiment is confirmed by technical indicators. Nevertheless, a small upwards rebound in the very short term could occur in case of excessive bearish movements.

After finding bids reach to 29k USD, bitcoin price recovered above 26k USD, 27k USD and 28k USD. Initial Bitcoin resistance lies near the 28,626 USD level (78% of Fibonacci retracement levels).

A decent breakout and follow-up move above 28,626 USD could open the gate for a push towards the 29k USD level. The main resistance remains near the area of 29k USD - 30k USD.

Also it should be noted that Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies unite as the bears lose their momentum. The market is indicating a bullish opportunity above the above-mentioned support levels, for that the bullish outlook remains the same as long as the 100 EMA is headed to the upside.

Trading BTC/USD :

An uptrend will start as soon, as the market rises above resistance level 28k USD, which will be followed by moving up to resistance level 29k USD. Further close above the high end may cause a rally towards 30k USD. Nonetheless, the weekly resistance level and zone should be considered.

Mourad El Keddani,
Especialista em análise na InstaForex
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