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10.03.2023 08:29 AM
Analysis and trading tips for EUR/USD on March 10

Analysis of transactions and tips for trading EUR/USD

The pair tested 1.0561 at a time when the MACD line was just starting to move above zero, which was a good reason to buy. It resulted in a price increase of about 20 pips. No other market signal appeared for the rest of the day.

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Contrary to expectations, the lack of statistics yesterday led to a further correction in EUR/USD. But today, there is a chance for growth as Germany's CPI data could prompt a rise in demand. The increase, however, will not be large because later in the day, ECB President Christine Lagarde and Board member Fabio Panetta will give a speech, which are unlikely to be good.

Upcoming reports on the US labor market are also expected to strengthen dollar as a fall in unemployment rate, jump in non-farm payrolls and increase in average hourly earnings are reasons to buy the currency. Of course, if the data actually disappoints, euro will get a chance to see gains.

For long positions:

Buy euro when the quote reaches 1.0600 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0640. Growth is possible, but it will only be as an upward correction and nothing more. Nevertheless, make sure that when buying, the MACD line is above zero or is starting to rise from it. Euro can also be bought at 1.0574, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0600 and 1.0640.

For short positions:

Sell euro when the quote reaches 1.0574 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0538. Pressure will return if the US releases a strong labor market data. However, make sure that when selling, the MACD line is under zero or is starting to move down from it. Euro can also be sold at 1.0600, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0574 and 1.0538.

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What's on the chart:

The thin green line is the key level at which you can place long positions in the EUR/USD pair.

The thick green line is the target price, since the quote is unlikely to move above this level.

The thin red line is the level at which you can place short positions in the EUR/USD pair.

The thick red line is the target price, since the quote is unlikely to move below this level.

MACD line - when entering the market, it is important to be guided by the overbought and oversold zones.

Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.

And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.

Jakub Novak,
Especialista em análise na InstaForex
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