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01.12.2023 01:22 PM
Analysis and trading tips for EUR/USD on December 1 (US session)

Analysis of transactions and trading tips on EUR/USD

Further decline became limited because the test of 1.0889 coincided with the sharp downward move of the MACD line from zero. This occurred after the release of better-than-expected PMI data from the eurozone.

Data on the ISM manufacturing index lies ahead, followed by speeches from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and FOMC member Lael Brainard. A dovish tone will lead to a surge in risk appetite, while a hawkish one will return the pressure on the pair. The latter will likely continue the downward correction of the overbought euro.

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For long positions:

Buy when euro hits 1.0922 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0976. Strong growth will occur amid a dovish tone from the Fed and weak US statistics.

When buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it. Euro can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.0889, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area, as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0922 and 1.0976.

For short positions:

Sell when euro reaches 1.0889 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0840. Pressure will increase in the case of a hawkish approach by Fed representatives.

When selling, make sure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it. Euro can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.0922, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0889 and 1.0840.

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What's on the chart:

Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy EUR/USD

Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.

Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell EUR/USD

Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.

MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market

Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.

And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.

Jakub Novak,
Especialista em análise na InstaForex
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