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26.02.2014 08:29 AM
Technical analysis of USD/IDR for February 26, 2014

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The USD/IDR now have a good strengthened momentum against USD by a few factors such as:

1. Jannet Yallen's policy on the FED's Stimulus.

2. The JSX (Jakarta Stock Exchange) rebound causes the capital inflow to Indonesia.

As we know, USD/IDR has a positive correlation with the JSX indices which are influenced by the Dow, Nikkei, Hangsheng, Strait Times indices. Today this currency has a good strength momentum to 11.380 (low), but after the 11.380 level, the USD/IDR going back to 11.635 again, and at the Daily Charts Candle, it has already made a hanging man formation. This situation happened because the Indonesian stock market has already a technical issue and getting down into the red zone. As we know, since February 17, 2014 many capital inflow have already come to Indonesia especially in the Money Market, and it is normal if this currency has a little pullback.

As long the USD/IDR does not breach and close above 11.692.45, this currency will play between the 38.2% to 61.8% Fibonacci area's (11.692.45 - 11332.55); otherwise if they can breach and close bellow 11.332.55, it will have a chance to go down to the 78.6% (11.076.35) level.

Disclaimer:

Trading Forex (foreign exchange) on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.

Arief Makmur,
Especialista em análise na InstaForex
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