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26.02.2014 10:45 AM
Elliott Wave Analysis of USD/CAD for February 26, 2014

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USD/CAD Elliott Wave
The USD/CAD pair has been trading upwards after the wave [b] (coloured black) completed the down cycle from 1.1193 yesterday at the 1.1048 level. In the 1-hour chart of the pair, we can see that we are tracking this short-term uptrend as sub-waves i and ii (coloured black) of the the bigger wave (a) (coloured green), and while price remains above the 1.1048 level, we are going to look for more buying opportunity inside the iii wave (coloured black). In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that wave iii should extend 161.8% of wave i, we can define the potential targets with measuring wave i with take profit at 1.1142 (161.8% of wave i). Swing term traders can also try this position, but they should hold the longs all the way towards the 1.1512 level, where we think Z wave (coloured red) should end the cycle. The RSI indicator on the smaller time frames, needs to provide us divergence at the end of the iii wave to confirm our view, and when you see that divergence you should look to close the trade.

Support and Resistance

(S3) 1.1018, (S2) 1.1036, (S1) 1.1060, (PP) 1.1078, (R1) 1.1102, (R2) 1.1120, (R3) 1.1144.

Trading forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is expected to begin upward movements. That is why short positions at the level of 1.1085 with stop loss at 1.1042 and take profit at 1.1142 are recommended.

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Summary
Urgency
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