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23.05.2012 10:02 AM
AUD/USD Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels for May 23, 2012

AUD/USD is developing impulse wave A (light green in the chart) of medium term downtrend. Within this wave there are five subwaves (magenta in the chart), and impulse subwave 5 is developing from 0.9934. The latter contrains subwaves A, B and C (yellow in the chart), and subwave C is still developing from 0.9907. However the upmove.

If the price resumes the downtrend the targets below will be Fibonacci expansions off 1.0473-1.0110-1.0219, 1.0219-0.9795-0.9934.

Supports:

- 0.9672 = contracted objective point (COP)
- 0.9632 = expanded objective point (XOP)
- 0.9510 = objective point (OP)

If the price reverses to the upside the immediate resistances will be Fibonacci retracements of the wave down from 0.9934 - this wave is not developed yet, so no resistances are available so far.

This image is no longer relevant

Overbought/Oversold

The larger wave is now moving down, so it's prefereable to go short when the Detrended Oscillator goes above the zero level (current prices) or into the overbought area (30-40 pips above the current prices), watch for possibilities to go short at or near the indicated resistances.

Read more on how to trade with Fibonacci levels.

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