EUR/USD Elliott Wave
Since our last analysis the EUR/USD pair was trading in a downward move as we predicted yesterday. During the European and New York sessions we could observe a descending movement from 1.2140 towards the 1.02043 level. Today this major pair did not manage to hold yesterday’s bearish mood and the price started pushing higher reaching a new daily high at 1.2082 level. The EUR/USD pair is currently developing last impulsive wave 5 (coloured blue) of the bigger wave (5) (coloured green) and we are expecting to see price at 1.2000 today. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 5 retraces 100% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets by measuring 1 wave with Take Profit at 1.1983 (100% of wave 1). Resistance at 1.2125 point can be used as Stop Loss. Also it is necessary to monitor the EU German Ifo Business Climate, Prelim GDP q/q, Belgium NBB Business Climate and U.S. New Home Sales, Treasury Sec Geithner Speaks, Crude Oil Inventories data that can change the rate of the pair.
Support and Resistance
(S3) 1.1928 (S2) 1.1928 (S1) 1.2023 (PP) 1.2080 (R1) 1.2118 (R2) 1.2175 (R3) 1.2213
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why short positions at level 1.2080 with Stop Loss 1.2125 and Take Profit at 1.1983 are recommended