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13.12.2022 08:03 AM
GBP/USD: Breaking forecast on December 13, 2022

In the United Kingdom, a slump in industrial production slowed to -2.4% from -3.1%, beating market expectations of -2.7%. In this light, GBP/USD strengthened. All in all, the situation in the market is still the same, and the price has been moving sideways for many days now.

United Kingdom Industrial Production:

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In the course of the European session, the pair may return to the levels it traded at before the release of industrial production data. It will become possible due to an increase in unemployment to 3.7% versus 3.6%. At the same time, the market situation will not change drastically.

United Kingdom Unemployment Rate:

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With the opening of the North American session, inflation data will be delivered in the United States. In addition, the FOMC meeting will take place tomorrow where the US regulator will announce another rate hike. Therefore, inflation may shed some light on how aggressive the Federal Reserve may be. The reading is forecast to slow to 7.6% from 7.7%, which means there is still a chance that the central bank raises interest rates by 75 basis points again. In such a case, the greenback will, of course, weaken but will not be able to leave the limits of the corridor. In case of a more significant slowdown in inflation, a 50 basis point rate rise may follow. If the actual result beats the market forecast, GBP/USD will go above 1.23.

United States Inflation:

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GBP/USD is hovering in the range between 1.2200 and 1.2300. Its sideways movement may later give way to new fluctuations.

The RSI is moving up on the 4-hour chart, reflecting strong bullish sentiment.

The Alligator's MAs are headed up on the 4-hour and daily charts, which illustrates bullish sentiment in the intraday and medium-term time frames.

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Outlook

The pair is now moving in a sideways corridor. If the quote settles beyond either limit of the range in the 4-hour time frame, it will determine the pair's further direction.

Based on complex indicator analysis, there is a variable signal for short-term and intraday trading due to a flat market. In the medium term, there is still a buy signal.

Dean Leo,
Especialista em análise na InstaForex
© 2007-2024
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