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04.02.2021 08:58 AM
Fractal analysis of major currency pairs on February 4

Outlook on February 4:

Analytical review of popular currency pairs on the hourly chart:

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The key levels for the EUR/USD pair are 1.2090, 1.2072, 1.2053, 1.2015, 1.1998, 1.1964 and 1.1950. Following the downward trend from January 22, we expect the pair to make a short-term decline in the range of 1.2015 - 1.1998. If the last value is broken, a strong downward movement will follow, with a target of 1.1964. The final potential downward target is the level of 1.1950. After reaching it, the price may consolidate and pullback upwards.

A short-term growth, in turn, is possible in the range of 1.2053 - 1.2072. If the last value is broken, a deep correction will occur. The target here is 1.2090.

The main trend is the downward trend from January 22

Trading recommendations:

Buy: 1.2053 Take profit: 1.2070

Buy: 1.2073 Take profit: 1.2090

Sell: 1.2015 Take profit: 1.1998

Sell: 1.1996 Take profit: 1.1965

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The key levels for the GBP/USD pair are 1.3889, 1.3852, 1.3792, 1.3756, 1.3711, 1.3619, 1.3596 and 1.3521. The price, which is currently in correction, is following the upward trend from January 11. Thus, we expect it to continue rising after the level of 1.3711 is broken, with the first target being 1.3756. There is short-term growth and consolidation in the range of 1.3756 - 1.3792. Once the last value is broken, it will lead to a strong growth, with a target of 1.3852. The potential upward target is 1.3889. The pair is likely to consolidate after reaching it and then make a downward pullback.

The key support is the range of 1.3619 - 1.3596. The price overcoming it will develop the downward trend. In this case, the first potential target is 1.3521.

The main trend is the upward trend from January 11, correction stage

Trading recommendations:

Buy: 1.3711 Take profit: 1.3754

Buy: 1.3756 Take profit: 1.3790

Sell: Take profit:

Sell: 1.3594 Take profit: 1.3535

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The key levels for the USD/CHF pair are 0.9066, 0.9033, 0.9015, 0.9005, 0.8980, 0.8966 and 0.8942. Following the bullish trend from January 22, we expect the pair to resume growth after the level of 0.8980 is broken, with the first target at 0.9005. There is a price consolidation in the range of 0.9005 - 0.9015. Once the last value is broken, a strong rise is expected, with a target of 0.9033. Another price consolidation is in the range of 0.9033 - 0.9042. The final potential upward target is the level of 0.9066. After reaching this level, price consolidation and downward pullback can be expected.

On another note, short-term decline is expected in the range of 0.8980 - 0.8966. If the last value is broken, a deep correction will occur, targeting the level of 0.8942. This is the support level.

The main trend is the upward trend from January 22

Trading recommendations:

Buy: 0.9015 Take profit: 0.9033

Buy: 0.9043 Take profit: 0.9066

Sell: 0.8980 Take profit: 0.8967

Sell: 0.8964 Take profit: 0.8944

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The key levels for the USD/JPY are 105.52, 105.40, 105.22, 105.11, 104.84, 104.71, 104.53 and 104.34. Following the development of the upward trend on January 21, we expect a consolidated movement in the range of 105.11 - 105.22. If the last value is broken, strong growth will follow with a target of 105.40. The final upward target is the level of 105.52 Once this level is reached, price consolidation and downward pullback can be expected.

A short-term decline is possible in the range of 104.84 - 104.71. If the last value is broken, a deep correction will occur, with the first target set at 104.53. This is the key support level and its breakdown will lead to the formation of initial conditions for a downward trend. The potential target is 104.34.

The main trend is the upward trend of January 21

Trading recommendations:

Buy: 105.12 Take profit: 105.22

Buy: 105.23 Take profit: 105.40

Sell: 104.84 Take profit: 104.72

Sell: 104.69 Take profit: 104.55

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The key levels for the USD/CAD pair are 1.2975, 1.2919, 1.2891, 1.2851, 1.2822, 1.2762, 1.2737, 1.2704, 1.2683 and 1.2650. Following the development of the upward trend from January 21, the pair is expected to make a short-term growth in the range of 1.2822 - 1.2851. If the last value is broken, the movement will continue towards the level of 1.2891. After that, another short-term growth can be expected in the range of 1.2891 - 1.2919, with consolidation. The ultimate potential upward target is the level of 1.2975. After reaching it, price consolidation, as well as a downward pullback can be expected.

A short-term decline, on the contrary, is expected in the range of 1.2762 - 1.2737. If the last value is broken, the development of a downward trend will be possible, with the first potential target of 1.2704. Price consolidation is in the range of 1.2704 - 1.2683.

The main trend is the upward trend from January 21

Trading recommendations:

Buy: 1.2853 Take profit: 1.2890

Buy: 1.2891 Take profit: 1.2918

Sell: 1.2762 Take profit: 1.2738

Sell: 1.2735 Take profit: 1.2705

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The key levels for the AUD/USD pair are 0.7707, 0.7671, 0.7647, 0.7631, 0.7594, 0.7572, 0.7534 and 0.7502. The price, which is currently in a correction stage, is following the development of the local bearish trend from January 29. In this case, we expect a short-term decline in the range of 0.7594 - 0.7572. If the last value is broken, a strong decline will follow, with the target set at 0.7534. The final potential downward target is the level of 0.7502. Upon reaching this level, an upward pullback is possible.

In turn, short-term growth is expected in the range of 0.7631 - 0.7647. If the last value is broken, a deep correction will occur. The target is 0.7671,which is the key support level for decline.

The main trend is the local downward trend from January 29, correction stage

Trading recommendations:

Buy: 0.7648 Take profit: 0.7670

Buy: 0.7673 Take profit: 0.7705

Sell: 0.7594 Take profit: 0.7573

Sell: 0.7570 Take profit: 0.7536

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The key levels for the EUR/JPY pair are 126.88, 126.67, 126.55, 126.26, 126.14, 125.93, 125.81 and 125.55. Following the formation of the downside potential from January 29, we expect the price to continue its downward movement after overcoming the noise range of 126.26 - 126.14, with a target of 125.93. In turn, price consolidation is in the range of 125.93 - 125.81. The final potential downward target is the level of 125.55. Once this level is reached, upward pullback can be expected.

A short-term growth is possible in the range of 126.55 - 126.67. If the last value is broken, a deep correction will occur, with the target set at 126.88. This is the key support level for the decline.

The main trend is the formation of the downward potential from January 29

Trading recommendations:

Buy: 126.55 Take profit: 126.66

Buy: 126.69 Take profit: 126.86

Sell: 126.12 Take profit: 125.93

Sell: 125.80 Take profit: 125.55

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The key levels for the GBP/JPY pair are 145.30. 144.87, 144.57, 143.91, 143.62, 143.26, 142.97, 142.55 and 142.14. Following the development of the upward trend from January 18, a consolidated movement is set at the range of 143.62 - 143.91. If the last value is broken, a strong growth is likely, which will lead us to the target of 144.57. A short-term upward movement and consolidation may occur in the range of 144.57 - 144.87. The upward potential target is the level of 145.30. After that, price consolidation and downward pullback can be expected.

A consolidated movement is expected in the range of 143.26 - 142.97. If the last value is broken, a deep correction will occur, with a target of 142.55. This is considered to be the key support level. The break of which would lead to the formation of a downward trend, with the target of 142.14.

The main trend is upward trend from January 18

Trading recommendations:

Buy: 143.94 Take profit: 144.55

Buy: 144.58 Take profit: 144.86

Sell: 142.95 Take profit: 142.57

Sell: 142.53 Take profit: 142.16

Daichi Takahashi,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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