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16.12.2021 10:28 AM
12月16日欧元/美元分析及交易建议

欧元/美元对交易分析

欧元/美元周三上涨 15 个点,这要归功于 MACD 线处于超卖区域时出现的买入信号。 它允许交易者安全地持有多头头寸,从而引发货币对的上涨。 下午出现卖出信号,这一次由于MACD线低于零导致下跌10-40点。

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意大利和法国的通胀数据并未影响市场,很可能是因为交易员关注美联储,美联储对货币政策做出了预期的决定。 这就是昨天美元兑其他货币上涨的原因。

但如果即将公布的欧元区数据超出预期,今天欧元可能会上涨。 制造业和服务业的良好表现将为欧元/美元提供支持,奥米克戎患者数量的减少也将提供支持。 欧洲央行的鹰派声明也将影响价格走势。

下午,美国将发布初请失业金人数和工业生产报告。 第一个指标下降而第二个指标上升将对美元产生积极影响,但数据不太可能扭转欧央行会议后形成的趋势。 美国采购经理人指数可以部分帮助美元,因为它已经处于高位并且不太可能超过它们。

对于多头头寸:

当欧元达到1.1305(图表上的绿线)时买进欧元,并在 1.1342 止盈。如果欧元区的综合 PMI 超出预期,则将观察到增长。欧洲中央银行的决定和公告也将影响价格走势。

购买之前,请确保 MACD 线高于零,或开始从此处上升。也有可能在1.1280买入,但MACD线应该在超卖区域,只有这样市场才会反转至1.1305和1.1342。

对于空头头寸:

当欧元达到1.1280(图表上的红线)时卖出欧元,并在 1.1233 止盈。欧元区经济数据疲软将导致欧元/美元下跌,因为这表明需要更多刺激措施来维持复苏。

在卖出之前,请确保 MACD 线低于零,或开始从零开始向下移动。欧元也可能在1.1305卖出,但MACD线应该在超买区域,只有这样市场才会反转至1.1280和1.1233。

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图表上的内容:

细绿线是您可以在欧元/美元货币对中建立多头头寸的关键水平。

粗绿线是目标价格,因为报价不太可能高于该水平。

细红线是您可以在欧元/美元货币对中建立空头头寸的水平。

粗红线是目标价格,因为报价不太可能低于这个水平。

MACD 线——进入市场时,重要的是要以超买和超卖区域为引导。

重要提示:新手交易者在做出进入市场的决定时需要非常小心。 在重要报告发布前,最好远离市场,以免陷入汇率的剧烈波动。 如果您决定在新闻发布期间进行交易,请始终放置止损单以最大程度地减少损失。 如果不放置止损单,您可能会很快损失全部存款,尤其是在您不使用资金管理和交易量大的情况下。

请记住,要成功交易,您需要有一个清晰的交易计划。 基于当前市场情况的自发交易决策对于日内交易者来说是一种固有的亏损策略。

Jakub Novak,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2023
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